BMIE Market 45251
Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,890 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,843 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±626 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 22,391 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,849 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $74,614 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,603 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $185,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,742 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 64 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45251 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +4.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +23.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +88.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 62 (range 56–69) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45251. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.7 | 71 | 40% | +28.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.7 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 60.6 | 61 | 25% | +15.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,254 | 82 | 40% | +32.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 74,614 | 55 | 40% | +21.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,843 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25.5 | 68 | 35% | +23.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 31.6 | 19 | 25% | +4.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,254 | 82 | 20% | +16.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 74,614 | 55 | 20% | +10.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 4.9 | 61 | 50% | +30.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25.5 | 68 | 30% | +20.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 23.1 | 48 | 20% | +9.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (115)
By cuisine
American 29 · Sandwiches 13 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 10 · Burgers 9 · Chicken / wings 9 · Bakery 8 · Mexican 7 · Dessert 6 · Breakfast 5 · Steakhouse 5 · Asian 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Filipino 1 · Indian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 64 · Quick service 36 · Bar 18 · Casual dining 13 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Specialty food shop 3 · Fast casual 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3210 | Bar | 3210 Springdale Rd | open | |
| Angilo's Pizza Northgate Angilo's Pizza Mt. Healthy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3106 Springdale Rd | open |
| Applebee's Grill + Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9595 Colerain Ave N | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3573 Springdale Rd | open |
| Aunt Flora | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9501 Colerain Ave | open |
| Auntie Anne's | Bakery | Bakery | 9713 Colerain Ave | open |
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9970 Colerain Ave | open |
| Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9920 Colerain Ave | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 3660 Stonecreek Blvd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 10170 Colerain Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9427 Colerain Ave | open |
| BW3 Colerain Ave. | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | open | ||
| Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9430 Colerain Ave Ste C Ste C | open |
| Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3633 Springdale Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 9496 Colerain Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9430C Colerain Ave | open |
| CiCi's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3550 Springdale Rd | open |
| Colerain Potbelly | Quick service | Sandwiches | 9727 Colerain Avenue | open |
| Crown Your Cup Mobile Bartending | Bar | 9674 Colerain Ave | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers | DQ Grill & Chill Restaurant 3545 Springdale Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 9918 Colerain Ave | open |
| Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3515 Springdale Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 9760 Colerain Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | open | |
| El Trompo Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3659 Stonecreek Blvd | open |
| Fiesta Navidena, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3659 Stone Creek Blvd | open | |
| First Watch - Northgate Mall First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 9721 Colerain Ave | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Burgers · American | 9578 Colerain Ave. | open |
| Frisch's Big Boy | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Burgers · American | 9830 Colerain Ave | open |
| Fusabowl Fusabowl | Quick service | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 9336 Colerain Ave | open |
| Fusion Wok India | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3645 STONE CREEK Blvd | open | |
| Gee's Caribbean Style | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 9163 Pippin Rd | open |
| Giggitys Bar | Bar | 3210 Springdale Rd | open | |
| Gloria Jean's Gourmet Coffees | Coffee shop | Coffee | 9715 Colerain Ave | open |
| Gold Star Chili | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9587 Colerain Ave | open | |
| Golden Corral Buffet and Grill | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8750 Colerain Ave | open | |
| Graeter's Ice Cream Graeter's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 9356 Colerain Ave | open |
| Great Steak | Other | Sandwiches | 9587b Colerain Ave Spc D2 | open |
| Honey Baked Ham The Honey Baked Ham Company | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 9570 Colerain Ave | open |
| HoneyMothBakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 9153 Pippin Rd | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 9540 Colerain Ave | open |
| J's Kitchen | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2841 Crest Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 9825 Colerain Ave Ste 100 | open |
| Just Love Coffee Cafe - Colerain Township Just Love Coffee Cafe - Tupelo MS | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9894 Colerain Ave | open |
| Kabuto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse · Asian | 9455 Colerain Ave | open |
| KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 9918 Colerain Ave | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 3373 Springdale Road | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3373 Springdale Rd | open |
| La Pinata | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3659 Stonecreek Blvd | open |
| Lam Sim Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10197 Colerain Ave | open | |
| LaRosa's Pizza LaRosa's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3657 Stone Creek Blvd | open |
| Last Call | Bar | 9165 Pippin Rd | open | |
| Legacy Tavern | Bar | 9017 Colerain Ave | open | |
| LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 9681 Colerain Ave | open |
| Los Panchos Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 8598 Colerain Ave | open |
| Louis' Cajun Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 9336 Colerain Ave | open |
| McDog's Lakeside Saloon | Bar | 3611 Bevis Ln | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9677 Colerain Ave | open |
| Meyers Music & Sportsbar | Bar | 8635 Colerain Ave | open | |
| Millette's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 9783 Dunraven Dr | open |
| Noodles And Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9719 Colerain Ave | open | |
| Northgate Kroger Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3636 Springdale Rd | open |
| Olive Garden Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3725 Stone Creek Blvd | open |
| Orange Leaf | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 9825 Colerain Ave | open |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 9880 Colerain Ave | open |
| P & S Family Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 3512 Springdale Rd | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 9679 Colerain Ave | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 9530 Colerain Ave | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3379 Springdale Rd | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9540 Colerain Ave | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8880b Colerain Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9632 Colerain Ave Suite 21 Suite 21 | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 9760 Colerain Ave | open |
| Potbelly Potbelly Sandwich Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 9727 Colerain Ave | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9825 Colerain Ave | open |
| Qsl Colerain Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3737 Stone Creek Blvd | open | |
| Quaker Steak & Lube Quaker Steak and Lube | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar | Burgers · American · Steakhouse · Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 3737 Stonecreek Blvd | open |
| Queen City Gourmet Chicken N Waffles | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 9864 Dunraven Dr | open |
| Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 9869 Colerain Avenue | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 3564 Springdale Rd | open |
| Saladworks Saladworks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 3636 Springdale Rd | open |
| Sbarro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9585 Colerain Ave | open |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 10197 Colerain Ave | open |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 8635 Colerain Ave | open |
| Smore Fun | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12167 Glencrest Ct | open | |
| Snows Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Dryridge Rd | open | |
| Sportztown Bar & Grill | Bar | 8750 Colerain Ave | open | |
| Star One Northwest, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9940 Colerain Ave | open | |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Pizza · Coffee · Bakery | 9040 Colerain Ave | open |
| Steak 'n Shake Steak 'n Shake | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 10181 Colerain Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9230 Colerain Ave | open |
| Subway Restaurants | Quick service | 10240 Colerain Ave Ste 4609 | open | |
| Subway Restaurants Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5685 Springdale Rd | open |
| Sweet Heart Café | Café | Coffee | 9894 Colerain Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 9449 Colerain Ave | open |
| Taylor’s Nest & Nook Farmstand | Bakery | Bakery | 3325 Bauerwoods Dr | open |
| TCBY | Dessert | Dessert | 9625 Colerain Ave | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 9540 Colerain Ave | open | |
| TGI Fridays | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9719 Colerain Ave | open |
| The Curry Stop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 3645 Stone Creek Blvd Ste H | open |
| The Office | Bar | 3100 Springdale Rd | open | |
| The Office Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3104 Springdale Rd | open | |
| The Works Pizza Co. Colerain | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3719 Stonecreek Blvd | open |
| Tienda Y Panadería La "Bendición" | Bakery | Bakery | 9336 Colerain Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9890 Colerain Ave | open |
| Tonys Beer Garden | Bar | open | ||
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 9723 Colerain Ave | open |
| Tumbleweed Tex Mex Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9343 Colerain Ave | open | |
| Twisted Tenders Twisted Tenders | Quick service · Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · Chicken / wings · American | 3720 Stone Creek Blvd | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 9184 Colerain Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 10152 Colerain Avenue | open |
| White Castle White Castle | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9740 Colerain Ave | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 9336 Colerain Ave | open |
| Drs Frietch & Anderson Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9017 Colerain Ave | closed | |
| Storming Crab Cincinnati | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 9595 Colerain Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 38 | 34 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 34 | 31 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 38 | 35 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 48 | 42 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 54 | 46 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 53 | 46 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 52 | 45 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 52 | 45 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 58 | 52 | 20 | 26 | 6 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 58 | 52 | 19 | 23 | 9 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 55 | 49 | 18 | 23 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 52 | 46 | 19 | 20 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 49 | 47 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 47 | 45 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 50 | 47 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 47 | 44 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 49 | 47 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 48 | 47 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 50 | 50 | 20 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 51 | 51 | 22 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 60 | 60 | 26 | 26 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 58 | 58 | 26 | 25 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 58 | 57 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 64 | 62 | 29 | 26 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 63 | 61 | 29 | 27 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 60 | 58 | 27 | 27 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 59 | 57 | 27 | 26 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 59 | 57 | 24 | 30 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 59 | 57 | 24 | 30 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 66 | 64 | 26 | 36 | — | — | NAICS2022 |