BMIE Market 45331

Darke County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,356 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,912 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,930 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,619 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,839 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$166,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,918 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	151.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	48 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45331
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	51 (range 47–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45331. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.4	58	40%	+23.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.7	48	35%	+16.7
Market Momentum Score	58.3	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,356	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	53,801	20	40%	+8.0
Households (ACS)	9,912	85	20%	+17.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.5	34	25%	+8.4
Population (ACS)	22,356	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	53,801	20	20%	+4.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (90)

By cuisine

American 24 · Coffee 12 · Pizza 10 · Sandwiches 10 · Bakery 9 · Mexican 7 · Burgers 6 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Breakfast 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Asian 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 23 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 14 · Bakery 11 · Dessert 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Specialty food shop 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Fast casual 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A and B Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	501 S Broadway St	open
All Summer Long	Bar		11109 East Dr	open
Archibald Drake fish & chips	Quick service · Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	1119 E Main St	open
Asian Buffet	Buffet	Asian	521 Wagner Ave	open
Aunt Katie''s Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	851 Martin St	open
Back In Time Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1249 Sweitzer St	open
Bakery on Scenic	Bakery	Bakery	3609 Scenic Heights Dr	open
Beamer's Bar	Bar	BBQ	1024 Wayne Ave	open
Beanz Buttercream Bakery and Eatery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	180 E 3rd St	open
Bismarck Donuts Greenville	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Breakfast	678 Wagner Ave	open
Blue Lantern Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	106 N Broadway St	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	1366 Wagner Ave	open
Brenda's Beanery	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	410 S Broadway St	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	1485 Wagner Aveneu	open
Bullfrogs Bar & Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining		1054 Main Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	423 Wagner Ave	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Quick service	Seafood · American	656 Wagner Ave	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1250 E Russ Rd	open
Chillz Frozen Yogurt	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	331 S Broadway St	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1303 Wagner Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1437 Wagner Ave	open
Coles Front Street Inn Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	812 Front St	open
Creme de la Creme	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	322 S Broadway St	open
Dairy King	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	805 Martin St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1510 Wagner Ave 1510 Wagner Ave	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Martin street	open
Danny's Place - Greenville, OH	Casual dining · Bar		308 S Broadway St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	515 Wagner Ave	open
Don's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	617 S Broadway St	open
Double M Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	537 S Broadway	open
Dragon Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1160 E Russ Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	655 Wagner Ave	open
El Camino Real	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	401 Wagner Ave	open
El Carreton Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	401 Wagner Ave	open
Elegant Treats	Bakery	Bakery	1212 Elmwood Dr	open
Essential Drip Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	835 Sweitzer St	open
Fairlawn Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	925 Sweitzer St	open
Four•twenty•three	Restaurant (service type not stated)		423 S Broadway St	open
Greenville Eagles #2177	Bar		113 E 3rd St	open
GypsyKitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		5390 Tamarack Trl	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		699 Wagner Ave	open
Hot Dish MCF	Delivery-focused	American · Healthy / salads / bowls	203 W Main St	open
Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1324 Wagner Ave	open
J's Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4547 Jaysville-St Johns Rd	open
Jack's Cabin Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	851 Martin St	open
Jim's Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 Martz St	open
JT's Brew & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1475 Wagner Ave	open
Kathy's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	416 Martin St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	670 Wagner Ave	open
La Carreta 3 Mexican Grill and Cantina La Carreta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	925 Sweitzer St	open
Las Marias Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1160 E Russ Rd	open
Long Haul Sub Shop	Other · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	5172-5188 SR-49	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		656 Wagner Ave	open
M&amp M Adventure Llp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1240 E Russ Rd	open
Mad Anthonys Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		851 Martin St	open
Maid-Rite Sandwich Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	125 N Broadway St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	900 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1301 Wagner Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1237 Sweitzer Rd	open
Montage	Specialty food shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · Coffee · American	527 S Broadway St	open
Moore's Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza	5207 Weavers-Ft Jefferson Rd	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1111 east main st	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1453 Wagner Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1520 Wagner Avenue Darke	open
Rapid Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	1487 Wagner Ave	open
Segoku Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1487 Wagner Ave	open
Seven brew 7 Brew Greenville	Coffee shop	Coffee	1375 Wagner Ave	open
Sloopy's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1240 Russ Rd	open
Sportzters Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		406 S Broadway St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	200 Lease Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1315 Wagner Ave Unit 7	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	325 & 335 Martin Street	open
Sure Shot Tap House	Bar · Casual dining		117 E 5th St A~C	open
T&A BAR and GRILL	Casual dining · Bar			open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1120 E. Russ Road	open
Teaford's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	101 Pine St	open
The Coffee Pot	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	537 S Broadway St #101	open
The Great Darke County Fair Beer Garden	Bar		1003 Central Ave	open
The Merchant House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		406 S Broadway St	open
The Original Maid Rite in Greenville OH	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	125 N Broadway	open
The Pink Whisk Bakeshop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	102 S Broadway St	open
The Wood Manor Mercantile	Bakery	Bakery	730 E Water St	open
Thirsty Turtle Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	6545 US Route 36	open
Tolly's Gastropub	Casual dining · Bar		644 Wagner Ave	open
Treaty City Cafe	Casual dining · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	851 Martin St	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Quick service		1520 Wagner Ave	open
Vint's Family Restaurant	Casual dining	American	1226 Sweitzer St	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	1501 Wagner Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	501 N. Wagner Ave.	open
Win Nutrition LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	684 Wagner Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	38	34	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	37	34	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	41	35	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	42	36	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	40	35	16	16	3	5	NAICS1997
1999	41	37	17	17	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	35	31	11	16	4	3	NAICS1997
2001	37	32	12	15	4	4	NAICS1997
2002	40	34	14	15	4	4	NAICS1997
2003	45	40	15	21	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	47	42	15	23	4	3	NAICS2002
2005	49	44	15	25	4	3	NAICS2002
2006	50	42	17	22	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	46	39	15	21	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	46	39	14	22	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	48	41	13	23	4	4	NAICS2007
2010	48	41	16	21	3	4	NAICS2007
2011	50	44	15	21	7	4	NAICS2007
2012	53	47	17	22	8	4	NAICS2012
2013	50	44	14	22	8	3	NAICS2012
2014	47	41	15	21	5	3	NAICS2012
2015	46	41	17	18	6	3	NAICS2012
2016	47	43	16	20	7	2	NAICS2012
2017	51	45	18	19	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	48	44	17	20	7	—	NAICS2017
2019	48	44	17	20	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	46	43	17	21	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	51	47	17	25	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	51	47	17	24	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	51	48	18	22	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45331. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.