BMIE Market 45383

Miami County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,912 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,842 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,037 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,110 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,620 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$962 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$171,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,039 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45383
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45383. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.0	56	40%	+22.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.6	52	35%	+18.1
Market Momentum Score	51.0	51	25%	+12.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,912	65	40%	+26.1
Median household income (ACS)	66,620	42	40%	+16.6
Households (ACS)	2,842	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	6,912	65	20%	+13.1
Median household income (ACS)	66,620	42	20%	+8.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-12.5	16	20%	+3.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Dessert 5 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Quick service 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aces on 48	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2334 S Miami St	open
Batter up bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1257 Sanlor Ave	open
Bulldog Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	30 Lowry Dr	open
Cafe 19 West Milton Café 19	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	7 S Miami St	open
Cakes by Jerri Deeter	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3873 S Range Line Rd	open
Clark's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	420 S Miami St	open
FilterShine Midwest	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1005 S Main St	open
Hale House Banquet & Event Center	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	320 N Miami St	open
HomeTowne Bakes LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	16 N Miami St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	127 N Miami St	open
Old Mason Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		4199 S Iddings Rd	open
Retrospeed Cafe, LLC	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	647 Debron Rd	open
Skipper's Tavern	Bar		101 N Miami St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	695 S Miami St	open
Sugarland Social	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	38 N Miami St	open
Tate's Tasty Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	1125 S Miami St	open
Timeless Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	136 N Miami St	open
Tom's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	690 S Miami St	open
West Milton, OH - Fox's Pizza Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	19 North Miami Street, West Milton, OH 45383	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45383. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45339	3.6 mi	1	2016
45322	3.7 mi	36	2023
45361	4.4 mi	—
45354	4.8 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.