BMIE Market 45387

Greene County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,285 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±345 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,616 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,169 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,512 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,042 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,944 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$886 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$332,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,645 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45387
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	29.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+45.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45387. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.8	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.1	53	35%	+18.6
Market Momentum Score	78.1	78	25%	+19.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,285	61	40%	+24.5
Median household income (ACS)	96,042	78	40%	+31.3
Households (ACS)	2,616	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	30.3	20	25%	+4.9
Population (ACS)	5,285	61	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	96,042	78	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	45.5	89	50%	+44.3
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 8 · Café 6 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aahar India	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	101 S Walnut St	open
Aleta's Cafe	Café	Coffee	309 Xenia Ave	open
Black Barn Veganry	Dessert	Vegetarian · Ice cream / frozen desserts	229 Xenia Avenue	open
C-Shop Co-op	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1 Morgan Pl	open
Calypso Grill And Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1535 Xenia Ave	open
Dino's Cappuccinos	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	225 Xenia Ave	open
Ellie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	321 Xenia Ave	open
Emporium Wines and Underdog Café	Café · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	233 Xenia Ave	open
HaHa Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	108 Xenia Ave	open
Hot or Not Slider Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	4 Xenia Ave	open
Jessica's Poke Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	134 Dayton St	open
La Pampa Mobile	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Casual dining · Bar		270 King St	open
Lucky Dragon YS	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	126 Dayton St	open
Main Squeeze	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	229 Xenia Ave	open
MAZU	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Vegetarian	229 Xenia Ave	open
Miguel's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	230 Xenia Ave	open
Nine Pines	Winery / distillery / taproom		NINE PINES, 1860 Hilt Rd	open
O&e's Corner Cone	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	101 S Walnut St	open
Peach's Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		104 Xenia Ave	open
Salsa Brava LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	221 Pleasant St	open
Spirited Goat Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	118 Dayton St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	107 Xenia Ave	open
Sunrise Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	259 Xenia Ave	open
Super Chow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	125 S Walnut St	open
The Gulch Saloon	Bar		128 Dayton St	open
Trail Town Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		101 Corry St	open
Tuck-N-Red's Spirits & Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		305 N Walnut St	open
Wavelength Salon And Spa Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		129 Dayton St	open
Williams Eatery & Gathering Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	101 Corry St	open
Winds Cafe	Winery / distillery / taproom · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	215 Xenia Ave	open
Ye Olde Trail Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	228 Xenia Ave	open
Yellow Springs Barrel Room Yellow Springs Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1475 Xenia Ave	open
Yellow Springs Brewery Yellow Springs Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		305 Walnut St	open
Young's Jersey Dairy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	6880 Springfield Xenia Rd	open
Young's on the Moove	Dessert · Food truck	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	6880 Springfield Xenia Rd	open
YS Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	107 Xenia Ave	open
The Greene Canteen	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	134 Dayton St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	4	4	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	15	9	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	15	9	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	15	8	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	18	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	9	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	9	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	16	14	9	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	14	9	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45387. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45316	3.3 mi	1	2016
45323	4.2 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.