BMIE Market 45458
Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 38,712 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,549 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 15,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±499 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 29,880 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,125 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $110,150 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,775 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $362,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 19.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45458 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +77.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +160.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 42 (range 37–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45458. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 90.9 | 91 | 40% | +36.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.4 | 72 | 35% | +25.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 42.4 | 42 | 25% | +10.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 38,712 | 93 | 40% | +37.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 110,150 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 15,700 | 94 | 20% | +18.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 8.3 | 53 | 35% | +18.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.1 | 72 | 25% | +18.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 38,712 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 110,150 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4.9 | 23 | 50% | +11.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 8.3 | 53 | 30% | +15.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 77.3 | 76 | 20% | +15.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (73)
By cuisine
American 10 · Coffee 8 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Asian 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · European 1 · Korean 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 15 · Bar 13 · Café 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 2 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrienne's White Rabbit Lounge | Bar | 889 S Main St | open | |
| Andie's Cakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 48 Marco Ln | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9268 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8301 Yankee St | open |
| Archers Tavern Centerville | Bar · Casual dining | 9496 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open | |
| Bagger Dave's Bagger Dave's Burger Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 5299 Cornerstone N Blvd | open |
| Birthday Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | open | |
| Blue Crab Juicy Seafood and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 8901 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| Bock Family Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 8150 Washington Village Dr | open |
| Buffalo Wings and Rings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 894 S Main St Ste C | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9198 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Carla's Caramel Corn | Dessert | 2436 Mill Trace Ln | open | |
| Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 995 S Main St | open |
| Centerville Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings | 9470 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Chiapas Mexican Grill Miamisburg | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 8971 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| China Dynasty | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 9142 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1033 S Main St | open |
| Chukee's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1569 Lyons Rd | open |
| ContempoRoast Coffee & Roastery | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 967 S Main St | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 9110 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 9010 S Main St | open |
| El Toro Centerville Llc Dba El Toro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 894 S Main St | open | |
| Five Guys Burgers and Fries Five Guys of Central Florida | Quick service | Burgers | 8163 Old Yankee St | open |
| Golden Corral Buffet and Grill | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8870 Kingsridge Dr | open | |
| Goldies Flavored Soft Serve | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 9352 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Green Chili Indian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 1501 Lyons Rd | open |
| Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9046 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Hunan Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 997 S Main St | open |
| India Chaat Cafe & Curry Out | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Coffee | 984 Miamisburg Centerville Rd | open |
| Kabuki Restaurant & Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 848 S Main St | open |
| La Pinata Restaurant La Piñata | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1069 S Main St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 832 S Main St | open |
| Lock 27 Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 1035 S Main St | open | |
| Loose Ends Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 890 S Main St | open | |
| Marion's Piazza Marion's Piazza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8991 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| Masaya Hookah Lounge and Cafe | Bar · Café | Coffee | 8939 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 990-A Miamisburg-Centerville Road | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9228 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Nelly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 79 S Main St | open |
| Nutmeg Cafe | Café | Coffee · European · Breakfast | 9166 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| O'Leary's Pub & Grub | Casual dining · Bar | 9450 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open | |
| Pakistani tractors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1436 Captains Brg | open | |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 832 S Main St | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8927 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| Philly Pretzel Factory Philly Pretzel Factory | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 1063 S Main St | open |
| Pho Mi Vietnamese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 8990 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9134 Lebanon Pike Montgomery | open |
| Power Plant Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Coffee | 430 Miamisburg Centerville Rd | open |
| Psyche Co. Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 408 Belleclaire Hl | open | |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1524 Miamisburg Centerville Rd Dayton | open |
| Rita's Water Ice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2821 Cobblestone Crossing Ct | open | |
| Sinfully Gluten Free | Bakery | Bakery | 9146 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 945 S Main St | open |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8906 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| Soyo Yogurt | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 971 S Main St | open |
| Speedy Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1488 Austin Road | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1003 S Main St | open |
| Station House Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 8200 Provincial Way | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8800 Kingridge Dr | open |
| Sushi Hana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1501 Lyons Rd | open |
| T4 (Tea For U) Bubble Tea Cafe SnackBar | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 9146 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 9300 Dayton Lebanon Pike | open |
| Texasqandbrew | Casual dining · Bar | 8566 Slagle Rd | open | |
| Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | open | |
| The VIP Suite | Bar | 8871 Kingsridge Dr | open | |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9555 DAYTON LEBANON | open |
| Waffle House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 9555 DAYTON LEBANON Pike | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 8800 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| Walter’s Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 1185 Timber Hawk Trl | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1019 South Main Street | open |
| Whimsical Little Loaves | Bakery | Bakery | open | |
| Yami Grill Hibachi & Sushi Buffet | Buffet | Japanese · Sushi | 8870 Kingsridge Dr | open |
| Yankee Trace Restaurant & Bnqt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10000 Yankee St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 15 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 14 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 13 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 17 | 9 | 8 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 26 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 34 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 38 | 36 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 39 | 36 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 40 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 39 | 35 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 37 | 19 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 41 | 21 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 43 | 39 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 43 | 40 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 42 | 20 | 17 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 37 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 42 | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |