BMIE Market 45506

Clark County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,435 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±984 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,729 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,055 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,556 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$42,104 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,604 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$872 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$107,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,779 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45506
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 4–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45506. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.2	48	40%	+19.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.2	66	35%	+23.2
Market Momentum Score	37.9	38	25%	+9.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,435	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	42,104	7	40%	+3.0
Households (ACS)	5,729	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.2	91	25%	+22.7
Population (ACS)	13,435	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	42,104	7	20%	+1.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-22.2	12	50%	+6.1
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	16.7	44	20%	+8.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Greek 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 6 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	40 W Leffel Ln	open
Bogey's at Rocky Lakes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	3950 Springfield Xenia Rd	open
Boone Saloon	Bar		3490 Dayton Springfield Rd	open
Brother Bear's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4810 Springfield Xenia Rd	open
Catanzaro's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	433 Dayton Ave	open
Chaps Saloon	Bar		2352 Springfield Xenia Rd	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	105 West Leffel Ln. I-70 & SR 72	open
Family Needs Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		36 E Grand Ave	open
Floss-A-RiA"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	25 S Yellow Springs St	open
Greek Spot Fish And Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Seafood · Chicken / wings	1222 S Center St	open
Kerry's Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	2604 Springfield Xenia Rd	open
Knights Of Phytias Mystery Ldg	Bar		610 S Yellow Springs St	open
Little Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1222 S Center St	open
Mama J's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	648 S Yellow Springs St	open
Pizza N Stuff	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	435 W High St	open
Riddle's Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	502 S Wittenberg Ave	open
Striver's Club	Bar		718 S Center St	open
Sweet Addictionss	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1752 S Center Blvd	open
Tina's Kitchen	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1463 Driscoll Ave	open
Wayside Tavern and Patio	Casual dining · Bar		2288 S Yellow Springs St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	9	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	11	7	3	3	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	9	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	8	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	5	4	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	9	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	5	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	5	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	5	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	5	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	8	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	8	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	7	4	2	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	8	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	11	8	4	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45506. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45501	2.0 mi	1	2016
45504	3.1 mi	52	2023
45505	4.2 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.