BMIE Market 46040

Hancock County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,487 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,476 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±540 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,944 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,767 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$147,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,547 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,528 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$435,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46040
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+81.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+233.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46040. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.5	85	40%	+33.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.4	81	35%	+28.5
Market Momentum Score	80.2	80	25%	+20.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,943	78	40%	+31.0
Median household income (ACS)	147,500	96	40%	+38.3
Households (ACS)	5,476	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	81.8	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.5	62	25%	+15.6
Population (ACS)	15,943	78	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	147,500	96	20%	+19.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	81.8	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	233.3	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 6 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
305 Fortville	Bar		305 S Main St	open
Bonsai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	18 S Main St	open
Broadway Diner	Casual dining	American	426 E Broadway St	open
Cortona's Tuscan Cuisine & Wine Bar, Llc	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	206 S Main St	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	346 West Broadway	open
Denver's Garage Pizza and Brews	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	110 E Broadway St	open
Divino Dolci	Dessert		560 Flint Blvd	open
Du Lit	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Vegetarian	101 W Broadway St	open
El 5th De Mayo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	209 S Main St	open
Fortville Speakeasy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	10 S Main St	open
FoxGardin Family Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10410 Olio Rd	open
FoxGardin Kitchen & Ale	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	215 S Main St	open
Generations Pie Company	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	230 S Main St	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	322 E Broadway St	open
Greek's Pizzeria of Fortville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	325 W Broadway St	open
Indulge	Dessert	Dessert	10 S Main St	open
Libby's Ice Cream and Gifts	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	222 W Broadway St	open
Lincoln Fortville Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		901 E Broadway St	open
Lincoln Square Pancake House Lincoln Square Pancake House - Main Page	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	901 E Broadway St	open
Los Maguelles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	222 S Main St	open
Luv Bakery Lüv	Bakery	Bakery	13848 Ash Stone Ct	open
Moon Drops Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		738 W Broadway St	open
Mozzi's Pizza Mozzi's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	23 S Main St	open
Ms. M's Shaved Ice and Ice Cream	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	422 E Broadway St	open
Online Music Garage	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Panda Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	21 S Main St	open
Pearl Street Geist Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10462 Olio Rd	open
Pearl Street Pizzeria & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	10462 Olio Rd	open
Pizza King Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	315 W Broadway St	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	709 W Broadway St	open
Simeri's Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10410 Olio Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	323 S Oak St	open
Sunrise Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	101 W Broadway St	open
SweetKorns&Co	Food truck · Bakery	Bakery	1173 W County Road 1000 N	open
Taj Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	202 S Main St	open
Taxman Fortville Taxman Brewing Company	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar		29 S Main St	open
The Georgetowner Drafthouse	Bar		215 S Main St	open
The Kitchen on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches · Burgers	8 S Main St	open
The Ultimate Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	202 S Main St	open
TOASTY EMBER	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	240 S Main St	open
VFW Post 6904 Fortville	Bar		206 S Main St	open
W Broadway & W Garden Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	709 W. Broadway St.	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	8	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	4	2	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	9	4	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	18	12	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	18	11	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	17	10	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	19	11	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	19	11	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	20	11	5	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46040. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46048	2.3 mi	1	2012
46055	4.5 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.