BMIE Market 46106

Johnson County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,159 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±723 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,614 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±412 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,928 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,406 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$120,072 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,534 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,622 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$471,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74,112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46106
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+225.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+333.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 15–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46106. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.4	78	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.7	81	35%	+28.2
Market Momentum Score	85.3	85	25%	+21.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,159	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	120,072	90	40%	+36.1
Households (ACS)	3,614	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	116.7	95	35%	+33.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.8	61	25%	+15.3
Population (ACS)	10,159	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	120,072	90	20%	+18.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	116.7	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	225	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ALL the Things by Jody	Bakery	Bakery	3640 W Smokey Row Rd	open
Chicago's Pizza Bargersville Chicago's Pizza - Mitchell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	2 N Indiana St	open
Daylight Dough Co.	Bakery	Bakery	1210 N County Road 400 W	open
El Beso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2993 S Grove Blvd	open
Flap-Jack's Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2991 Fulmer Dr	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2994 Fulmer Dr	open
Greek food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	524 E Old Plank Rd	open
Johnson's Bbq Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	82 S Baldwin St	open
La Herradura II Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	226 IN-135	open
Lola's Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	15 Baldwin St	open
Mallow Run Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		6964 W Whiteland Rd	open
Nutrition 317	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	50 IN-135	open
Our Table American Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5080 IN-135 A	open
Pizza and Libations	Bar	Pizza · Italian	75 Baldwin St	open
Professional Smoke	Bar		76 S IN-135	open
Safka, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2991 Fulmer Dr	open
Salt & Light Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	125 E Harriman Ave	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	4550 Heather Wood Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	84 IN-135	open
Taxman Brewing Company Taxman Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		13 S Baldwin St	open
The Bar on Baldwin	Bar	Spanish / tapas	23 Baldwin St	open
The Knuckle Sandwich	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	5116 IN-135	open
Up Cellar	Bar	Steakhouse	63 Baldwin St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	3	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	4	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	6	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	6	5	5	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	5	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	6	5	5	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	6	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	4	—	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	11	10	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	12	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46106. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.