BMIE Market 46181

Johnson County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,964 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±501 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,862 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,832 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,937 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,337 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,329 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$951 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$314,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,957 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	45.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46181
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46181. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.9	66	40%	+26.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.9	44	35%	+15.4
Market Momentum Score	58.8	59	25%	+14.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,964	60	40%	+24.1
Median household income (ACS)	91,337	74	40%	+29.8
Households (ACS)	1,862	60	20%	+12.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	35%	+6.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.1	42	25%	+10.6
Population (ACS)	4,964	60	20%	+12.1
Median household income (ACS)	91,337	74	20%	+14.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	30%	+5.5
20-year restaurant growth	12.5	41	20%	+8.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

Pizza 4 · American 2 · Coffee 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Quick service 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Buffet 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	110 IN-135	open
Butter Sugar Flour Coffee and Pastry Bar	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	105 IN State Road 135	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	214 Indiana State Road 135	open
Chicago's PizzaTrafalgar Chicago's Pizza - Mitchell	Buffet · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	706 W Trafalgar Pointe Way	open
Crowbar Inn Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		209 IN-135	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1 Trafalgar Square	open
HI-Acre Farm	Food truck		644 W County Road 550 S	open
Jo’s Bakery & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	706 W Trafalgar Pointe Way Apt D	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	706 W Trafalger Pointe Way	open
Mi Jefe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	106 South State, 106 IN-135	open
Small Town Pizza & Sub Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	106 W Pearl St	open
Southern Comfort Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)		801 Spring Lake Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	12 Trafalgar Sq	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	10 Trafalgar Square	open
The Pig's Tail	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	105 N State Road 135	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	2	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	2	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	2	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46181. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.