BMIE Market 46184

Johnson County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,304 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±908 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,729 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,806 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,387 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,865 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,822 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,864 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$232,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46184
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+38.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46184. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.0	77	40%	+30.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.9	78	35%	+27.3
Market Momentum Score	86.6	87	25%	+21.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,304	75	40%	+29.9
Median household income (ACS)	99,865	81	40%	+32.3
Households (ACS)	4,729	73	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.5	58	25%	+14.6
Population (ACS)	13,304	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	99,865	81	20%	+16.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	38.5	87	50%	+43.5
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	80	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Italian 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5115 N 300 E	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	891 U.S. 31 N	open
Circle City Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10 S US Highway 31	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	99 US 31 S	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4982 North 350 East	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	989 North Us 31	open
El Abuelo Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	989 N US Highway 31	open
Friend's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	989 N US Highway 31	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1001 US 31 S	open
Hardee’s	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1001 N US HIGHWAY 31	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	989 N US Highway 31, Ste 130	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2962 E 500 N	open
Nailers Brewing & Distilling Co.	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom	American	6001 U.S. 31 N	open
Napier Investments Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		99 S US Highway 31	open
Pizza King Whiteland Pizza King Whiteland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	30 US 31 S	open
Rock N Roll Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	211 N US Highway 31	open
Scoops & Treasures Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 Tracy Rd	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	84 US-135	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	321 North US 31	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	211 N US 31	open
Taste of China Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	989 US 31 S	open
Tequila House Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	50 US 31 S	open
Top Tier Cakes Indy	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	225 U.S. 31 N	open
Whit's Inn	Bar · Casual dining	American	1020 US 31 S	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	7	1	6	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	—	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	—	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	1	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	11	10	1	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	—	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	—	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	1	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	1	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	—	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	1	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	—	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	2	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	2	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	12	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	17	4	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	18	6	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46184. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46143	3.6 mi	74	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.