BMIE Market 46221
Marion County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,027 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,544 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,117 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±752 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,393 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,647 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $65,280 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $191,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 20.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46221 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +8.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +8.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +92.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 26 (range 24–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46221. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 67.5 | 68 | 40% | +27.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67.5 | 68 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 61.0 | 61 | 25% | +15.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,027 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 65,280 | 39 | 40% | +15.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,117 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.3 | 75 | 25% | +18.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,027 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 65,280 | 39 | 20% | +7.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 8.7 | 66 | 50% | +33.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 30% | +20.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 8.7 | 39 | 20% | +7.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (60)
By cuisine
Mexican 10 · Burgers 8 · Pizza 7 · American 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Greek 2 · Italian 2 · Caribbean 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 19 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3487 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Azteca Mexican Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4899 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Barlo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5051 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Barry's Pizza and Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 2020 W Morris St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3311 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4883 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Cakes by Donna | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 8220 Mann Rd | open |
| China One China One | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3379 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Classic Dining Kentucky, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4795 Kentucky Ave | open | |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4701 Kentucky Avenue | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 4430 South Mann Road | open |
| Egg Roll King on Kentucky Ave | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2905 Kentucky Ave | open |
| El Pollo Tropical | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3633 Kentucky Ave | open |
| El Tio Ranchero | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4903 S High School Rd | open | |
| Garden South Cafe (Bldg 141) | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Guanajuato Restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1269 Oliver Ave | open |
| Harding Pub & Grub | Casual dining · Bar | 525 S Harding St | open | |
| Indy gyros food truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 3605 Kentucky Ave | open |
| John's Famous Stew | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1146 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Kfc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4789 Kentucky Ave | open |
| King Kakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1734 Lambert St | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2211 Kentucky Avenue | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 2810 Kentucky Ave | open | |
| La Ola Azul | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 2211 S Kentucky Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 3333 S Kentucky Ave | open |
| Los Kualiz | Food truck | 3715 Kentucky Ave | open | |
| Los Patios | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5051 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Los Patios Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 3383 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Macdonald Dahm Llc Dba Greenway Dumpster S | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1810 S Belmont Ave | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4906 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Mota Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4375 Kentucky Ave | open |
| My Own Place Cafe | Quick service · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1024 W Morris St | open |
| New Day Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2302 W Morris St | open |
| Pasquales Pasquale's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3469 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Pho-Sho Vietnamese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1144 Kentucky Ave | open | |
| Puerto Rico Flavor aka Coqui | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 4811 S High School Rd | open |
| Rally's | Quick service | 3605 Kentucky Ave | open | |
| Rally's Checkers and Rally's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4905 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Rolyno's Original Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | Mann Road | open |
| Santorini Greek Kitchen | Catering | Greek · Mediterranean | 950 S White River Pkwy Dr W | open |
| Slammin Sammies | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2136 W Morris St | open | |
| Slim's Pub | Bar · Quick service | 5546 Dollar Run Ln | open | |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 1224 South Harding Street | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3485 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4887 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Summer Song | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2501 W Morris St | open |
| Super China Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3383 Kentucky Ave | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3601 Kentucky Avenue | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4896 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Tacos Y Tortas Arroyo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2120 W Morris St | open |
| Tdy Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1146 Kentucky Ave | open | |
| The G-Rage | Bar | Burgers | 4554 Laclede St | open |
| The Meltdown | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | Sandwiches · Mexican | 4795 Kentucky Ave | open |
| The Sweet Mandala | Bakery | Bakery | 6325 W Mills Rd | open |
| Wendy's | Quick service | 2903 Kentucky Ave | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1450 W Morris St | open |
| White Castle | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2820 Kentucky Ave | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3381 Kentucky Ave Unit #12 | open |
| WoodFire Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | open | |
| Lone Star Cellular Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4897 Kentucky Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 13 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 14 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 16 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 19 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 14 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 20 | 3 | 16 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 22 | 4 | 17 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 16 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 23 | 5 | 17 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 24 | 7 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 18 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 23 | 5 | 17 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 25 | 5 | 19 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 28 | 21 | 3 | 18 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 23 | 3 | 20 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 31 | 23 | 3 | 20 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 20 | 2 | 18 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 20 | 2 | 18 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 20 | 3 | 17 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 21 | 2 | 19 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 20 | 2 | 18 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 17 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 21 | 4 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 27 | 23 | 6 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 25 | 7 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2022 |