BMIE Market 46278

Marion County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,450 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,087 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±387 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,197 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,211 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$158,648 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,218 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,589 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±999 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$408,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,921 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46278
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	31.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+107.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+625.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 27–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46278. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.7	80	40%	+31.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.6	57	35%	+19.8
Market Momentum Score	65.8	66	25%	+16.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,450	68	40%	+27.3
Median household income (ACS)	158,648	97	40%	+38.8
Households (ACS)	3,204	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.5	55	35%	+19.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	34.3	17	25%	+4.1
Population (ACS)	8,450	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	158,648	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.4	64	50%	+32.2
10-year restaurant growth	11.5	55	30%	+16.6
20-year restaurant growth	107.1	85	20%	+17.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

American 11 · Mexican 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 6 · Italian 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abuelo's Mexican Restaurant	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5910 W 86th St	open
Alpha Baking Co	Bakery	Bakery	5763 W 85th St	open
Atlanta Bread Company	Bakery	Bakery	6010 W 86th St Ste 112	open
Bellacino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7134 Woodland Dr	open
Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	6330 W 71st St	open
Chef Mike's Charcoal Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7102 Woodland Dr	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6020 W 86th Street	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6010 W 86th St	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	6010 W 86th St, Ste 142	open
Crawfords Bakery & Deli	Bakery	Bakery	8227 Northwest Blvd Ste 205	open
DiBella's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	8550 W. 86th Street	open
Distinctive Wine Cellars Inc	Winery / distillery / taproom		8219 Northwest Blvd	open
EatThai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	5650 W 86th St	open
Eli's Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6335 Intech Commons Dr Suites C	open
Endangered Species Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	5846 W 73rd St	open
Gatsby's Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		6335 Intech Commons Dr	open
Griffins Cafe	Café	Coffee	6325 Digital Way	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7217 Woodland Dr	open
HotBox Pizza HotBox Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6260 Intech Commons Dr Ste B	open
Hummus Republic Hummus Republic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	5650 W 86th St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8562 Lafayette Road	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6020 W 86th Street	open
Jack's Donuts Jack's Donuts of Kokomo	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	6260 Intech Commons Dr Ste A	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	6260 Intech Commons Dr	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6260 Intech Commons Dr Ste C	open
Le Peep Le Peep Restaurant Indy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	6335 Intech Commons Dr	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	5840 W 86th St	open
Luciana's Mexican Restaurant Luciana's Mexican Restaurant and Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	5910 W 86th St	open
Macizo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Peruvian · Mexican	6335 Intech Commons Dr Suites C/D	open
Mexi taco grill indy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7230 Woodland Dr	open
Miami's Garden	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		7102 Woodland Dr	open
Monical's Pizza Monical's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6010 W 86th St	open
Noodles & Company Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · American	5710 W 86th St	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	6050 West 86th Street	open
Philadelphia Steak and Fries	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	5745 W 86th St	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5630 W 86th St Indianapolis	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	5650 W 86th St	open
Romano's Macaroni Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	5720 W 86th St	open
Ruth's Too	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		6325 Digital Way	open
Schakolad Chocolate Factory	Dessert	Dessert	6010 W 86th St Ste 136	open
Slim Chickens Slim Chickens	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5730 W 86th St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6320 Intech Commons Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5710 W 86th St Traders Point Ii	open
Steak 'n Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7230 Woodland Drive	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7118 Woodland Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5650 W 86th Street Suite 132	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5721 W. 86th Street	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		5935 W 86th Street	open
Ted's Montana Grill Ted's Montana Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Steakhouse	5910 W 86th St	open
Tegry Bistro Tegry Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	6010 W 86th St #140	open
The Busy Bee Play Cafe	Café	Coffee	5635 W 96th St Ste 200	open
The Flying Cupcake	Bakery · Food truck · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
The Loft Restaurant & Dairy Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	9101 Moore Rd	open
The Rejoicing Vine	Winery / distillery / taproom		8440 W 82nd St	open
This That & The Other	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6330 Corporate Dr Ste D	open
Trader's Mill Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar		5650 W 86th St	open
Vitality Bowls Traders Point	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	5650 W 86th St Ste 136	open
Wendy's	Quick service		6320 Intech Commons Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5620 West 86th Street	open
Yats Traders Point Yats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	5650 W 86th St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	10	3	5	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	3	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	17	15	6	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	4	8	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	17	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	21	20	7	11	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	25	24	9	12	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	28	27	12	11	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	32	28	12	12	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	28	26	11	11	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	27	25	11	10	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	30	26	11	10	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	33	28	12	10	6	—	NAICS2007
2012	29	23	9	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	33	26	10	11	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	33	28	10	13	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	30	25	10	10	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	32	27	10	11	6	1	NAICS2012
2017	37	32	13	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	27	11	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	29	11	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	30	12	12	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	34	31	12	14	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	27	10	13	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	29	11	13	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46278. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46254	3.4 mi	87	2023
46268	3.4 mi	100	2023
46112	4.9 mi	77	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.