BMIE Market 46303

Lake County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,680 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±552 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±353 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,170 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,717 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,211 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,535 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,361 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$293,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46303
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+26.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+123.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+81.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 28–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.2	74	40%	+29.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.9	69	35%	+24.1
Market Momentum Score	81.8	82	25%	+20.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,680	79	40%	+31.7
Median household income (ACS)	84,211	67	40%	+26.9
Households (ACS)	6,385	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.4	48	25%	+12.0
Population (ACS)	17,680	79	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	84,211	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	26.1	82	50%	+40.8
10-year restaurant growth	45	79	30%	+23.7
20-year restaurant growth	123.1	87	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 11 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 6 · Italian 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sandwiches 4 · BBQ 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 13 · Bar 9 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Café 2 · Bakery 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aurelio's Pizza Aurelio's Pizza LaPorte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	12939 Wicker Ave	open
Barajas Geo Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10728 W 133rd Ave	open
Battista's Market Deli Cedar Lake	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian	13050 Wicker Ave	open
big butt bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	13231 Wicker Ave	open
BIGGBY COFFEE Biggby	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	9751 Lincoln Plz	open
Biljon	Bar		8610 W 141st Ave	open
Boz Hot Dogs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	13145 Wicker Ave	open
Bugaboo Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	14527 S Lakeshore Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	9810 W 133rd Ave	open
Carol Ann's Candies	Dessert	Dessert	10101 W 133rd Ave	open
Carol Ann's Candies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10101 W 133rd Ave #3	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10405 W 133rd Ave	open
Cedar Lake Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	10325 W 133rd Ave	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9525 W 133rd Ave	open
Corky's Dogg House	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	12421 Wicker Ave	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	9717 W 133rd Ave	open
Dairy Belle	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	13134 NE Lake Shore Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	9917 W 133rd Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	7926 Lake Shore Dr	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	13302 Wicker Ave	open
El Jimador #3	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 Broadway St	open
El Salto Mexican Restaurant El Salto Restaurant Munster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	13019 Wicker Ave	open
Focus Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	13320 Lincoln Plz Wy	open
Frank's Backyard BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	13106 Wicker Ave	open
Froggie Latin Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	13202 Wicker Ave	open
Gelsosomo's Pizzeria & Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13019 Wicker Ave	open
Goodfella's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		11200 W 129th Ave	open
Great Oaks Banquets & Events	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13109 Wicker Ave	open
Harry O's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13226 Wicker Ave	open
Hayosha Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12551 Wicker Ave	open
Hunley's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	13115 NW Lake Shore Dr	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	7926 Lake Shore Dr STE A	open
Jostes &amp Glynn, Llp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13321 Wicker Ave	open
La Dilla Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	9759 Lincoln Plz Wy	open
Lake Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	13115 Wicker Ave	open
Lighthouse Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7501 Constitution Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	13312 Wicker Ave	open
Mike’s BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15205 Wicker Ave	open
Morkes Chocolates Cedar Lake	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Juice / smoothies	13301 Lincoln Plz	open
P&#x26 M Auto Glass &#x26 Trim, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10733 W 133rd Ave	open
Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7704 Lake Shore Dr	open
Pop's Italian Beef and Sausage Pop's Beef	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	9841 Lincoln Plz Wy	open
Ratco, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10101 W 133rd Ave	open
Reichert's Tavern Inc.	Casual dining · Bar		14351 W 135th Ave	open
Rise'n Roll Bakery Rise'n Roll	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	9869 Lincoln Plz Wy	open
Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	13125 Lake Shore Dr	open
Sip Coffee House Cedar Lake Sip Coffee House & Artisan Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	13133 E Lakeshore Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10101 W 133rd Ave	open
Sundaes On The Lake	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	13134 Lake Shore Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	13313 Wicker Ave	open
Tastee Top Grill	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	14500 Morse St	open
The Hill Tavern	Bar		13324 Morse St	open
The Sandbar Grill	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American · Breakfast	13118 NE Lake Shore Dr	open
Theo's Restaurant Highland Indiana Theo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Asian		open
Time Out Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		13231 Wicker Ave	open
Top It Off	Coffee shop	Coffee	13326 Lincoln Plaza Way Unit 5	open
Town Club Tavern	Bar		13111 NE Lake Shore Dr	open
Vito's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	7210 W 132nd Ave	open
Well Done Dining Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13019 Wicker Ave	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10833 W 133rd Ave	open
Bugaboos Drink Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14527 Lake Shore Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	16	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	18	13	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	23	18	9	8	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	22	15	7	7	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	18	12	5	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	16	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	18	14	4	8	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	17	13	5	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	16	7	8	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	21	16	7	8	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	17	12	4	7	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	21	15	6	7	2	5	NAICS2002
2008	21	16	7	7	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	22	17	8	7	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	22	17	7	8	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	23	19	7	11	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	24	20	9	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	24	20	9	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	23	19	9	9	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	25	21	10	8	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	28	22	10	8	4	5	NAICS2012
2017	26	21	9	9	3	4	NAICS2017
2018	28	23	10	10	3	4	NAICS2017
2019	27	22	9	10	3	4	NAICS2017
2020	29	24	10	10	4	4	NAICS2017
2021	28	22	9	9	4	5	NAICS2017
2022	33	27	12	10	5	4	NAICS2022
2023	34	29	12	12	5	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46303. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46373	4.7 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.