BMIE Market 46356

Lake County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,721 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±514 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,078 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,524 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,763 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$281,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	112.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46356
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+68.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 31–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.89) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46356. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.89, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.4	77	40%	+30.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.9	76	35%	+26.6
Market Momentum Score	84.5	84	25%	+21.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,721	81	40%	+32.5
Median household income (ACS)	89,217	73	40%	+29.0
Households (ACS)	7,078	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	68.8	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.7	58	25%	+14.4
Population (ACS)	19,721	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	89,217	73	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	68.8	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

Pizza 9 · American 8 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Mexican 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 11 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Café 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aspire Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		241 N Liberty St	open
Athens Gyros	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Greek · Sandwiches	116 Mill St	open
Aunt Millie's Lowell Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	790 W Commercial Ave	open
Aurelio's Pizza Aurelio's Pizza LaPorte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	166 Deanna Dr	open
Bearski's Pub & Eatery	Bar · Casual dining		151 Deanna Dr	open
Bellacino's Pizza & Grinders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2074 E Commercial Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1620 E Commercial Ave	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	888 W Commercial Ave	open
Creative Metal Art - The Bean Spot	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	407 E Commercial Ave	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1805 E Commercial Ave	open
Dee's Corner	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1336 E Commercial Ave	open
Dicky's Dogs	Quick service		108 W Commercial Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1682 E Commercial Ave	open
Don Delfis House Of Pancakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		151 Deanna Dr, Lowell, IN 46356-2402, United States	open
Dunkin' Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1660 E Commercial Ave	open
Faustino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	399 Clark St	open
Gcj&s Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1910 E Commercial Ave	open
George's Family Restaurant	Casual dining	American		open
George's Family Restaurant George's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1910 E Commercial Ave	open
Gold star café	Café	Coffee	1336 E Commercial Ave	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service		1651 E Commercial Ave	open
Kelsea’s Kravings	Dessert	Dessert	17408 Morse St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1692 East Commercial	open
Lake Dale Ale	Bar		5512 W Main St	open
Ledger & Proof	Bar · Casual dining		405 E Commercial Ave	open
Loven Oven Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1000 E Commercial Ave	open
Mando's Neighborhood Pub II	Bar			open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1705 E Commercial	open
McVey's Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	312 E Commercial Ave	open
Mexico Chiquito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1950 E Commercial Ave	open
Mexico Lindo Mexican Restaurant Bar & Grill 3 Mexico Lindo Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1628 E Commercial Ave	open
Mi Ranchito Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	149 W Commercial Ave	open
My Little Ranch Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1628 E Commercial Ave	open
NO 1 Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	152 Deanna Dr	open
Old Dog Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	220 E Commercial Ave	open
Papa's Mini Donuts & Cheese Curds	Food truck · Specialty food shop · Dessert · Bakery	Dessert	15310 Morse St	open
Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	108 W Commercial Ave	open
Pizzeria At The Point	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	241 N Liberty St	open
Powdered Pink Cupcake Inc.	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	5401 W 155th Ave	open
Ricardo's Grill & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	20508 Wicker Blvd	open
Route 2 Pizza	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	210 E Commercial Ave	open
Schoop's Hamburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	151 Deanna Dr	open
Simply Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	8910 W 157th Pl	open
Smokey Bellz BBQ and Sugar Bellz Treatz	Food truck · Catering	BBQ	108 W Commercial Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1735 E Commercial Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2107 E Commercial Ave	open
The Dam Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4665 W Main St	open
The Mason Jar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		241 N Liberty St	open
Toasted S'mores Company	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	422 E Commercial Ave	open
Town Pub	Bar · Casual dining		214 E Commercial Ave	open
Earl's Corner Kitchen Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20508 Wicker Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	22	19	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	20	18	11	7	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	24	22	14	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	23	22	15	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	25	23	16	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	24	21	13	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	20	18	11	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	22	19	12	7	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	20	18	10	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	22	19	9	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	23	19	8	11	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	24	20	11	9	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	20	17	8	9	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	21	18	9	9	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	21	18	9	9	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	21	18	9	9	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	20	16	6	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	21	17	7	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	21	17	7	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	22	18	8	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	23	18	8	10	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	22	18	9	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	29	24	11	12	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	28	23	10	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	30	26	12	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	34	28	13	14	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	27	13	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46356. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.