BMIE Market 46385

Porter County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	40,856 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,269 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±511 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	38,866 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,880 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,957 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,039 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,346 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$331,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	80.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46385
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+420.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 27–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46385. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.6	89	40%	+35.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87.9	88	35%	+30.8
Market Momentum Score	84.9	85	25%	+21.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	40,856	94	40%	+37.7
Median household income (ACS)	98,957	80	40%	+32.1
Households (ACS)	15,269	94	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	85.7	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.4	87	25%	+21.7
Population (ACS)	40,856	94	20%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	98,957	80	20%	+16.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30	83	50%	+41.6
10-year restaurant growth	85.7	89	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (55)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · Pizza 7 · American 6 · Italian 4 · Mexican 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 20 · Casual dining 9 · Quick service 9 · Café 6 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American	670 Morthland	open
Baller Bar	Bar		20 Tower Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1651 Morthland Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	555 Morthland Drive	open
Burger King	Quick service		4005 Winter Ln	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	374 W U.S. Hwy 6	open
Campbell Street Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	4245 Meridian Woods Dr	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	307 W US Highway 6	open
Casteels	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	210 Aberdeen Dr	open
Cookie By Kim	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1266 Vanderburgh St	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	366 W US-6	open
Draft Picks	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		391 W U.S. Hwy 6, Ste A	open
Fajita Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	385 W US-6	open
Four Fathers Brewing	Brewery / taproom		1555 W Lincolnway Ste 105	open
Franklin House	Casual dining · Bar	American	58 S Campbell St	open
Gaucho's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	597 W US Highway 30	open
Gyros Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Greek	391 W U.S. Hwy 6	open
Harry's Crib	Bar · Café	Coffee	386 Wilshire Ct	open
Hoosier Hemp Cannabis Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	420 INDYca Way	open
Icehouse Lounge	Bar		4 W US Highway 6	open
Island Nutrition Smoothies and Juices	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1675 W Morthland Dr	open
J & J's Pizza Shack J&J's Pizza Shack Valparaiso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1454 Lincolnway	open
Jeff's Pizza Joynt Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	786 Mccool Rd Ste 4	open
Jeffro's Place and Bonfire Sands	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1454 Gilleevan Dr	open
Lambstone Cellars Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1555 W Lincolnway	open
Lil Saver Broaster Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	393 US-6	open
Maple + Bacon	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	210 Aberdeen Dr A	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	364 W US Highway 6	open
Meridian Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		4 W US Highway 6	open
No Boundary Brewing	Brewery / taproom		360 S Campbell St	open
Old World Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	504 Galway Dr	open
Pepe's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1058 S State Road 2	open
Pepe’s Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	386 W US-6	open
Root & Revelry Craft Soda	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1555 W Lincolnway	open
Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2160 W Morthland Dr	open
Rosewood Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	367 W US-6	open
Rue’s Sourdough	Bakery	Bakery	467 Grove Ave	open
Salvoras Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		786 Mccool Rd Ste 3	open
Santini's Pizza And Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	390 W U.S. Hwy 6	open
Sea of Monsters	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		258 S Campbell St	open
Semento's	Casual dining · Bar		1200 West St	open
Sportsmans	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	381 W US-6	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2160 Morthland Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1655 Morthland Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	383 W US Highway 6	open
Sunset Hill Biergarten	Bar		775 Meridian Rd	open
Suzie's Cafe & Catering	Café · Catering	Coffee · Breakfast	1050 Southpoint Cir	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	793 Mccool Rd	open
The Grape Hut 2.0	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		338 W US Highway 6	open
The Stumble Inn	Bar		217 Shorewood Dr	open
Tommy B's Clubhouse	Bar		210 Aberdeen Dr B	open
Trailyard By Shady Creek Winery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2551 Clifford Rd	open
Tw Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2403 Campbell St	open
Verona Pizza & Wings	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	1689 W Morthland Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	12	8	2	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	17	14	9	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	19	17	12	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	8	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	16	13	7	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	6	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	17	14	7	3	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	16	13	7	4	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	22	15	6	6	3	5	NAICS2002
2008	22	18	10	6	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	22	17	9	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	24	19	11	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	24	19	10	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	22	17	7	8	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	19	14	5	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	19	14	5	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	21	16	8	5	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	19	15	8	4	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	20	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	20	9	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	21	10	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	22	12	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	26	14	9	3	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46385. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46393	4.1 mi	1	2002

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.