BMIE Market 46738

DeKalb County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,533 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±439 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,627 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,918 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,225 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,545 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,925 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$879 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$164,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,430 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46738
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46738. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.5	52	40%	+20.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.5	47	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	54.8	55	25%	+13.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,533	68	40%	+27.4
Median household income (ACS)	57,545	26	40%	+10.2
Households (ACS)	3,627	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.7	66	25%	+16.4
Population (ACS)	8,533	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	57,545	26	20%	+5.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auburn Garrett House Of Pancakes	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	114 S Randolph St	open
Blue Moon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4504 IN-327	open
Boxcar Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	105 N Randolph St	open
Chef Peng Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	115 W King St	open
CJ's Canteena	Casual dining · Bar	American · Mexican	701 E Quincy St #1616	open
Coffee Cabin Drive Thru	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1830 S Randolph St	open
Coterie Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1850 S Randolph St	open
Dave's Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1206 S Randolph St	open
Dough-Si-Dough	Bakery	Bakery	6709 Cedar Ln	open
Garrett Eagles #1357	Bar		Garrett	open
Ikg Industries	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1801 Forrest Park Dr	open
Lalos Restaurante Mexicano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Latin American (other)	104 N Peters St	open
Martin's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		115 N Randolph St	open
Mino 2	Casual dining	American · Italian	106 S Randolph St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 W 6th Ave De Kalb	open
Roadside Sugar & Spice	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1202 S Hamsher St	open
Shorty's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	127 N Randolph St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1321 S Randolph St	open
Sugar + Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	103 S Randolph St	open
T& R Junction	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 N Peters St	open
The Grind Coffee House of Garrett	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	101 S Randolph St	open
The Smiling Cat by Fresh Baked	Bakery · Food truck	Bakery · Breakfast	1308 S. Randolph St.	open
Timmy's Pizza & Bbq Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 N Randolph St	open
Traxside Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		118 N Peters St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	14	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	11	8	5	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	12	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	4	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	5	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	6	2	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46738. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46748	4.9 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.