BMIE Market 46803

Allen County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,994 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,228 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±377 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,758 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,443 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$34,381 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,035 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	27.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$963 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$85,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,969 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46803
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-38.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46803. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.6	45	40%	+17.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.2	39	35%	+13.7
Market Momentum Score	47.4	47	25%	+11.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,994	72	40%	+28.9
Median household income (ACS)	34,381	3	40%	+1.4
Households (ACS)	4,228	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.3	83	25%	+20.8
Population (ACS)	10,994	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	34,381	3	20%	+0.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Halal / kosher 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Quick service 6 · Bar 5 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bazz Nomal	Bar		3101 E Washington Blvd	open
Birrieria La Cabana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2534 New Haven Ave	open
Bob Hawkins House Of Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2619 Weisser Park Ave	open
Brisas Tropical	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	3032 Maumee Ave	open
Brooks Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1403 Winter St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7616 E Lincoln Hwy	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6244 State Road 930	open
Fw Qsr Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2615 S Clinton St	open
Get 2 Go Express Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2510 S Coliseum Blvd	open
Hoosier Daddys BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2650 S Coliseum Blvd	open
Hot Chickz Hot Chicken (Halal)	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Halal / kosher	1716 E Pontiac St	open
Hotseat And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2516 E Pontiac St	open
Lewis Bakeries Inc Lewis Bake Shop	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	136 Murray St	open
Link's Wonderland	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1711 E Creighton Ave	open
Los Carnales Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	412 E Pontiac St	open
Los Tacos Paco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2516 E Pontiac St	open
Madea's Soul Food Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2115 Lafayette St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7502 E Lincoln Hwy	open
Mi Tierra Supermarket Mi Tierra Cafe & Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3120 New Haven Ave	open
Neighborhood Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1403 Winter St	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2615 S Clinton St	open
River City Outfitters Fort Wayne	Bar		1227 Herbert St	open
Riverfront fw Bier Garten	Bar		1227 Herbert St	open
Spudz Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		5428 New Haven Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3217 E. Washington Blvd.	open
Summit City Brewerks	Brewery / taproom		1501 E Berry St Ste 106	open
Three Rivers Distilling Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		224 E Wallace St	open
Loonie & Silly's Country Bar	Bar		3706 New Haven Ave	closed
Wendy's	Quick service		6824 Lincoln Hwy E	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	13	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	23	13	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1996	24	12	—	—	—	12	SIC1987
1997	24	13	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1998	22	11	3	7	—	10	NAICS1997
1999	19	7	2	5	—	11	NAICS1997
2000	22	10	3	6	1	11	NAICS1997
2001	18	7	2	5	—	10	NAICS1997
2002	17	8	3	5	—	8	NAICS1997
2003	15	7	2	5	—	7	NAICS2002
2004	18	10	5	5	—	7	NAICS2002
2005	17	8	3	5	—	8	NAICS2002
2006	22	10	3	6	1	9	NAICS2002
2007	20	10	3	6	1	7	NAICS2002
2008	14	8	2	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	16	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	8	3	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	15	8	2	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	15	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	19	12	5	6	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	16	8	2	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	13	8	2	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	7	2	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	12	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46803. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46806	1.7 mi	18	2023
46805	2.6 mi	86	2023
46815	2.7 mi	36	2023
46807	3.7 mi	12	2023
46802	4.1 mi	68	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.