BMIE Market 46809

Allen County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,589 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±828 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,057 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,947 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,341 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,253 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$888 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$133,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,810 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46809
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 21–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46809. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.8	49	40%	+19.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.3	47	35%	+16.5
Market Momentum Score	56.4	56	25%	+14.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,589	69	40%	+27.4
Median household income (ACS)	52,253	18	40%	+7.1
Households (ACS)	4,057	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	35%	+23.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.5	28	25%	+6.9
Population (ACS)	8,589	69	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	52,253	18	20%	+3.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10.5	68	50%	+34.1
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	20%	+2.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (53)

By cuisine

American 10 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
375 Donuts and Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4382 Bluffton Rd	open
A&W Restaurant Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1826 Bluffton Rd	open
All City Delivery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2713 W Ferguson Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6759 Bluffton Rd	open
Aunt Millies Bakery Outlet	Bakery	Bakery	1912 Bluffton Rd	open
Azar's Big Boy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6800 Bluffton Rd	open
BIGGBY COFFEE	Coffee shop	Coffee	8605 Bluffton Rd	open
Blendin Protein + Energy	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	6429 Bluffton Rd	open
Cap n' Cork Cap n' Cork	Bar		7002 Bluffton Rd #2706	open
China Palace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5810 Bluffton Rd	open
Crescendo Coffee And More	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	1806 Bluffton Rd	open
Curly's Village Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4205 Bluffton Rd	open
East of Chicago Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6720 Old Trail Rd	open
Elevate Energy	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	6429 Bluffton Rd	open
Ellison Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4108 W Ferguson Rd	open
Fort Wayne International Airprt	Other · Bar			open
Garda Cash Logistics	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4004 W Ferguson Rd	open
Hainan House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Vietnamese · Asian	1820 Bluffton Rd	open
Hall's Original Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1502 Bluffton Rd	open
Halls Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1502 Bluffton Rd	open
Hatfield & Sons Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1818 Bluffton Rd	open
Hello Sunshine Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2610 Lower Huntington Rd	open
Hook and Ladder	Bar		2616 Lower Huntington Rd	open
Korean Fried Chicken (Fort Wayne)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	2801 Lower Huntington Rd	open
La Fogata Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1812 Bluffton Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6417 Bluffton Rd	open
Lola Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Latin American (other)	2801 Lower Huntington Rd	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	6224 Bluffton Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6810 Bluffton Rd	open
Miami Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5858 Bluffton Rd	open
Morgan's Tap & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	8421 Bluffton Rd	open
Office Tavern	Bar		3306 Brooklyn Ave	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6233 bluffton rd	open
Pepper & Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2801 Lower Huntington Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6809 Bluffton Rd Allen	open
Pizza King Pizza King	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	4226 Bluffton Rd	open
Poof's Burgers N' More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	7605 Bluffton Rd	open
Rich's Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	3411 Lower Huntington Rd	open
Rigo's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5858 Bluffton Rd	open
Sassie Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	2801 Lower Huntington Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	3801 W Ferguson Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4935 Bluffton Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7002 Bluffton Rd	open
Summer Song	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4225 Earth Dr	open
Taco Zone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6433 Bluffton Rd	open
Tasty King Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4410 Bluffton Rd	open
The Bluebird Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	4410 Bluffton Rd	open
The Stand	Dessert · Casual dining	Hot dogs · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	5200 Bluffton Rd	open
Top Notch Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6800 Bluffton Rd	open
Waynedale Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2610 Lower Huntington Rd	open
Waynedale Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	5700 Bluffton Rd	open
Wings Etc. Wings Etc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	6247 Bluffton Rd	open
Key Iii Candies Inc	Dessert	Dessert	4211 Earth Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	24	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	28	22	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	31	24	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	32	25	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	37	26	9	15	2	8	NAICS1997
1999	32	23	9	13	1	6	NAICS1997
2000	36	26	12	13	1	6	NAICS1997
2001	35	24	10	13	1	8	NAICS1997
2002	33	24	11	11	2	6	NAICS1997
2003	36	27	14	10	3	5	NAICS2002
2004	33	24	13	10	1	6	NAICS2002
2005	33	22	10	11	1	8	NAICS2002
2006	32	22	12	9	1	7	NAICS2002
2007	25	17	8	8	1	7	NAICS2002
2008	27	19	9	9	1	6	NAICS2007
2009	27	20	11	8	—	5	NAICS2007
2010	25	20	12	7	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	24	20	13	6	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	29	23	14	8	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	23	17	10	7	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	25	19	12	7	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	29	21	12	9	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	25	17	8	9	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	24	17	7	10	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	26	19	9	10	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	24	18	8	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	26	20	9	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	31	25	11	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	26	22	10	11	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	25	21	9	11	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46809. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46804	3.9 mi	100	2023
46798	3.9 mi	1	1999
46819	4.7 mi	3	2023
46807	4.8 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.