BMIE Market 46814

Allen County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,778 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±745 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,707 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,281 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,364 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$147,280 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,986 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,624 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±668 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$399,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46814
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+333.3% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46814. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.9	85	40%	+34.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.5	85	35%	+29.9
Market Momentum Score	84.5	85	25%	+21.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,778	78	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	147,280	96	40%	+38.3
Households (ACS)	5,707	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	62.5	87	35%	+30.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.8	81	25%	+20.3
Population (ACS)	16,778	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	147,280	96	20%	+19.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	44.4	88	50%	+44.2
10-year restaurant growth	62.5	87	30%	+26.0
20-year restaurant growth	62.5	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 5 · Bar 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aroma Lounge Coffee	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Dessert	1361 W Hamilton Rd S	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	10201 Illinois Rd	open
Chicking Chicking	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1357 W Hamilton Rd S	open
Crh Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10349 W State Road 14	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	10207 Illinois Rd	open
Elmo's Pizza & Subs	Other	Sandwiches	10225 Illinois Rd	open
Espresso Gallery Inc	Coffee shop	Coffee	10357 W State Road 14	open
Fort Wayne Christian School	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5421 Homestead Rd	open
Guadalupe's Mexican Grill Guadalupe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	10345 Illinois Rd	open
Hong Kong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	10365 Illinois Rd	open
Hotel Tango Fort Wayne	Bar		10212 Chestnut Plaza Dr	open
KC Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		12012 US-24	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10349 IN-14	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10310 Illinois Rd	open
Oak & Koe	Café	Coffee	5310 W County Line Rd S	open
Oley's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10910 US-24	open
Salvatori's Salvatori's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	10337 Illinois Rd	open
Shopoff's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	12082-12180 U.S. 24	open
Smashli’s New Beer Garden	Bar			open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10231 W State Road 14	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10231 Illinois Rd	open
The Ehlerosa	Bar		4736 Brook Hollow Dr	open
The Hive Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7120 Homestead Rd	open
The Taco Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1341 W Hamilton Rd S	open
Wild & Free GF	Bakery	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls	7120 Homestead Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1998	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	2	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	1	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	1	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	1	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46814. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46804	3.5 mi	100	2023
46704	3.9 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.