BMIE Market 46816

Allen County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,514 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,557 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±556 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,116 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,879 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$45,343 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,221 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$865 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$157,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,804 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46816
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-61.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46816. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	52.5	52	40%	+21.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.3	53	35%	+18.7
Market Momentum Score	19.9	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,514	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	45,343	10	40%	+4.0
Households (ACS)	7,557	81	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.1	91	25%	+22.8
Population (ACS)	19,514	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	45,343	10	20%	+2.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 5 · Halal / kosher 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · BBQ 3 · Bakery 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 9 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Other 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
19th Hole	Casual dining · Bar		303 E Tillman Rd	open
6 Mile Bar & Pizzeria	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	7405 Wayne Trce	open
Aladdin Food Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern	7102 S Anthony Blvd	open
Anwar's Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	629 E Paulding Rd	open
Ayahso Nice Jamaican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	5921 Hessen Cassel Rd	open
Baba's Steak & Lemonade Baba's Steak & Lemonade	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood · American · Sandwiches	7505 S Anthony Blvd	open
BEST BBQ	Quick service	American · BBQ	3029 E Paulding Rd	open
Big Lacy's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7425 S Anthony Blvd	open
Boss Lady Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7510 S Anthony Blvd	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1020 East Tillman Road	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		7607 South Anthony Boulevard	open
Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Asian	7310 S Anthony Blvd	open
Golden Halal Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Halal / kosher	5921 Hessen Cassel Rd	open
It Was Good Food Trailer	Quick service	BBQ · American	629 E Paulding Rd	open
Laredo Tortilleria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1616 Woodside Ave	open
Latino American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5921 Hessen Cassel Rd	open
Maples Inn Inc	Bar · Casual dining		8225 Franke Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7640 S Anthony Blvd	open
Nine Mile Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American	13398 US-27	open
Noble Romans Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1721 E Tillman Rd	open
On Track Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	720 E Tillman Rd	open
Renaissance Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	1033 E Tillman Rd	open
Southtown Inn	Bar		6811 Decatur Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7755 Southtown Crossing	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	425 E Paulding Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7502 Southtown Xing	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	11310 Old Decatur Rd	open
Sunset Nightclub Sunset Inn Restaurant	Bar		6809 S Hanna St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7719 Southtown Crossing	open
Taqueria Flores	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3204 E Paulding Rd	open
Wendy's	Quick service		7631 Southtown Xing	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	26	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	28	24	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	24	21	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	21	18	7	11	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	18	15	7	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	20	17	9	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	17	14	7	7	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	18	13	8	5	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	10	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	20	15	9	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	17	15	9	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	16	11	7	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	17	14	6	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	12	10	4	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	10	4	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	3	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	15	11	3	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	13	9	3	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	12	9	3	6	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	13	10	4	6	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46816. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46806	3.9 mi	18	2023
46745	4.0 mi	1	2016
46819	5.0 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.