BMIE Market 46845

Allen County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±951 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,044 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,117 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,795 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$112,676 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,886 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,398 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$339,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46845
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46845. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88	88	40%	+35.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.0	80	35%	+28.0
Market Momentum Score	74.1	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,583	89	40%	+35.4
Median household income (ACS)	112,676	88	40%	+35.1
Households (ACS)	11,044	87	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.7	98	25%	+24.5
Population (ACS)	29,583	89	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	112,676	88	20%	+17.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	60	71	20%	+14.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · American 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Quick service 2 · Casual dining 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
East of Chicago Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10812 Coldwater Rd	open
Los Cabos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	10812 Coldwater Rd	open
Lunch Box Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	8814 Coldwater Rd	open
Martini Deck	Bar		16628 Marble Rdg	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5225 E Dupont Rd	open
Parlor Doughnuts Parlor Doughnuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	11936 Lima Xing Dr	open
Salad Bar Salad Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls		open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	Parkview Plaza Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1966 Copper Mine Passage	open
Teds Beerhall	Bar		12628 Coldwater Rd	open
The Sitting Schnauzer Rathskeller	Bar		10333 River Rapids Run	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	12677 Coldwater Rd	open
Union Social	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	12628 Coldwater Rd	open
Vinland Reserve Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4494 Provision Pkwy	open
Whip & Chill	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	10529 Tidewater Trl	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	7	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 46845. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
46748	3.7 mi	7	2023
46825	3.9 mi	99	2023
46765	4.2 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.