BMIE Market 48042

Macomb County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,875 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,641 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±578 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,291 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,515 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$126,667 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,661 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,672 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±305 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$410,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,030 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48042
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-30.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+64.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+130.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 10–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.2 per year, r² 0.84) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48042. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.84, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.2	91	40%	+36.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.5	61	35%	+21.5
Market Momentum Score	25.2	25	25%	+6.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,875	91	40%	+36.4
Median household income (ACS)	126,667	92	40%	+36.9
Households (ACS)	12,050	89	20%	+17.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-30.3	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.8	85	25%	+21.3
Population (ACS)	33,875	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	126,667	92	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.8	15	50%	+7.7
10-year restaurant growth	-30.3	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	64.3	72	20%	+14.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (44)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 7 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Other 3 · Bar 2 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service		45630 N Gratiot Ave	open
Benito's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	23025 21 Mile Rd	open
BIGGBY COFFEE	Coffee shop	Coffee	16706 26 Mile Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	45470 N Gratiot Ave	open
Chicken Shack Macomb Twp. Chicken Shack - Acadian Thrwy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	51058 Romeo Plank Rd	open
Cottage Inn Pizza Cottage Inn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	51040 Hayes Rd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Restaurant Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	23185 Hall Rd	open
Dream and a Whisk	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	51186 Romeo Plank Rd	open
Evola’s Dessert Bars	Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	Macomb	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	16376 26 Mile Rd	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	21956 23 Mile Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	45780 N. Gratiot Avenue	open
Kit Kat Klub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		55140 Romeo Plank Rd	open
LEO'S CONEY ISLAND CARD RD & 23 MILE RD Leo's Coney Island- Clio	Casual dining	American	22000 23 Mile Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · American	23159 21 Mile Rd	open
Macomb Family Restaurant & Grill Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22000 23 Mile Rd	open
Mama Vicki's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	24989 Hall Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	45700 N Gratiot Ave	open
Moni's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	16600 24 Mile Rd	open
New China Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	21960 23 Mile Rd	open
Oliver's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	16736 26 Mile Rd	open
Pak 786 Management Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45780 N Gratiot Ave	open
Pak Management Of Michigan Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45780 N Gratiot Ave	open
Passport Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	16636 24 Mile Rd	open
Romeo Plank Pizza Group, #164, Llc Dba J Et's Pizza #164	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16376 26 Mile Rd	open
Saucy Joe's Italian Food Truck & Catering	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		51459 Royal Links Ct	open
Scoop And Twist Of Macomb	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	21912 23 Mile Rd	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	51082 Romeo Plank Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	16328 26 Mile Road	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	22977-22999 23 Mile Rd.	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	16328 26 Mile Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	16248 26 Mile Road	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	45590 Gratiot Avenue	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	17699 23 Mile Rd	open
Tavern At Tina's Country House	Bar · Casual dining		50870 North Ave	open
The Country Inn Country Inn - Family Dining	Casual dining	American	51292 Romeo Plank Rd	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop	Coffee	16450 26 Mile Rd	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop	Coffee	16510-26 Mile Rd	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	22929 Hall Rd	open
Tubby's Grilled Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)		51030 Hayes Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	22929 Hall Rd	open
Willie's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	23055 21 Mile Rd	open
Wrap & Roll	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea · Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	51090 Romeo Plank Rd	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	51040 Hayes Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	16	6	10	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	14	13	4	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	17	14	5	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	21	17	6	11	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	20	17	6	9	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	17	14	5	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	21	16	7	8	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	24	18	6	10	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	22	18	6	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	27	23	9	12	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	30	27	4	18	5	1	NAICS2007
2009	32	29	5	19	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	32	29	5	20	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	36	33	7	22	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	36	32	6	23	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	36	33	5	24	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	33	29	6	22	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	35	31	5	25	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	35	29	6	22	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	33	30	6	23	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	27	6	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	26	5	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	23	6	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	20	3	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	22	4	17	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	23	4	18	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48042. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48044	2.5 mi	64	2023
48051	4.3 mi	66	2023
48315	4.5 mi	102	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.