BMIE Market 48109

Washtenaw County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,939 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±641 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	156 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,904 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$14,093 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,710 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	19.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,453 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,070 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	1.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48109
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+133.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	28 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	29 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48109. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	29.1	29	40%	+11.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	32.5	33	35%	+11.4
Market Momentum Score	20.8	21	25%	+5.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,939	63	40%	+25.3
Median household income (ACS)	14,093	0	40%	+0.1
Households (ACS)	156	19	20%	+3.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.8	65	25%	+16.3
Population (ACS)	5,939	63	20%	+12.6
Median household income (ACS)	14,093	0	20%	+0.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-22.2	12	50%	+6.1
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

Coffee 15 · Chinese 3 · Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Café 15 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 7 · Coffee shop 4 · Bar 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ahmo's Gyros & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	530 S South Street	open
Bert's Café	Café	Coffee	919 S University Ave	open
Blue Café	Café	Coffee	701 E University Ave	open
Café 32	Café	Coffee	1011 N University Ave	open
Computer & Video Game Archive	Café	Coffee	2281 Bonisteel Blvd	open
Darwin's	Café	Coffee	1105 N University Ave	open
East Quad Dining Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 E University Ave	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	1500 E Medical Center Dr	open
Fields Cafe	Café	Coffee	100 Washtenaw Ave	open
Fireside Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2301 Bonisteel Blvd # 2315	open
Glass House Cafe & Catering	Café	Coffee	100 Washtenaw Ave	open
Hibachi-San	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2101 Bonisteel, Univ Of Michigan-Hibachi San	open
Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	1500 E Medical Center Dr	open
Magic Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	530 S State St	open
Maizie's Kitchen & Market	Café	Coffee	911 N University Ave	open
McDonald's	Quick service		2101 Bonisteel Blvd	open
Mosher Jordan Marketplace	Buffet		200 Observatory St	open
Mujo Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	2281 Bonisteel Blvd	open
North Quad Dining Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 S State St	open
North Star Reach	Bar		300 N Ingalls St	open
Oddfellows Local 151	Bar		1500 E Medical Center Dr	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	2101 Bonisteel	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	530 S State St	open
Phát Lộc Đồ Gỗ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1327 Medical Center Drive	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	530 S State St	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	Pierpont Commons 2101 BoniSte.el Ave.	open
Seigle Cafe - Michigan Ross School of Business	Café	Coffee	701 Tappan Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	701 Tappan Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1500 E Medical Center Dr	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	530 S State St	open
Sweetwaters Campus Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		530 S State St Rm 1300	open
Sweetwaters Coffee & Tea UM Union Sweetwaters Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	530 S State St Rm 1300	open
Taco Bell	Quick service		911 N University Ave	open
The Great Greek Mediterranean Grill - U of M - Pierpont Commons The Great Greek Mediterranean Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean · Greek	2101 Bonisteel Blvd	open
The University Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	530 S State St	open
University of Michigan Hospital Cafeteria	Café	Coffee	1500 E Medical Center Dr	open
Victor's Way Café	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Wake n' Bacon	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	701 E University Ave	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	530 S State St	open
Wing Snob	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	530 S. State St., Union Hall	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	—	5	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	—	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	—	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	21	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	20	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	22	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	10	1	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	26	10	1	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	10	1	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	9	1	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	10	1	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	9	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48109. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48104	2.1 mi	196	2023
48105	2.6 mi	43	2023
48108	5.0 mi	61	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.