BMIE Market 48117

Monroe County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,262 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,124 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,104 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,942 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,429 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$298,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,665 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	54.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48117
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48117. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.1	67	40%	+26.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.7	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	60.9	61	25%	+15.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,262	71	40%	+28.5
Median household income (ACS)	78,942	61	40%	+24.3
Households (ACS)	4,141	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.8	85	25%	+21.3
Population (ACS)	10,262	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	78,942	61	20%	+12.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anson's Pizza & Restaurant	Bar	Pizza · American	9811 Exeter Rd	open
Carleton Hotel Bar	Bar · Casual dining		927 Monroe St	open
Carleton House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12770 Maxwell Rd	open
Carleton Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	125 Medical Center Dr	open
Chapel Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1148 Monroe St	open
Chief's Handle Inn	Bar		1155 Monroe St	open
China Club	Bar	Chinese · Asian	12527 Grafton Rd	open
Farmer's Cafe	Casual dining	American	141 Medical Center Dr	open
Jazzy Steakburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10125 Telegraph Rd	open
Longbranch Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		10221 Telegraph Rd	open
Maxwells Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	12750 Maxwell Rd	open
Newport Bread & Bakes	Bakery	Bakery	1235 Newport Rd	open
Nina's Italian Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1209 Monroe St	open
Parkway Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Indian	12819 Telegraph Rd	open
Sheena Barnes B-B-Que Bones	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29590 Sumpter Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	12710 Grafton Rd	open
The Main Street Dairy Company	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	830 Monroe St	open
The Panda Saloon	Bar	Asian · Chinese	4651 W Newburg Rd	open
The TOAST Office	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	12770 Maxwell Rd	open
Tiffany's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1119 Monroe St	open
Tiny Bakes by Savannah LLC	Bakery	Bakery	8100 Reinhardt Rd	open
Tubby's Grilled Submarines	Other	Sandwiches	974 Will Carleton Rd	open
Twist & Shake Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	830 Monroe St	open
Whiskey Jacks BBQ	Food truck	American · BBQ	8989 Exeter Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	9	5	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	11	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	7	3	2	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	11	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	5	2	3	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	9	4	2	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	9	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	14	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	12	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	9	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48117. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.