BMIE Market 48130

Washtenaw County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,986 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±767 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,268 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,420 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,538 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$129,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,794 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$480,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	64.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48130
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 19–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48130. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.1	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.7	62	35%	+21.6
Market Momentum Score	46.9	47	25%	+11.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,986	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	129,254	93	40%	+37.1
Households (ACS)	6,268	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	61	25%	+15.1
Population (ACS)	16,986	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	129,254	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	83.3	78	20%	+15.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (53)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · American 7 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Breakfast 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 8 · Café 7 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
42 North Social House	Casual dining · Bar		7954 Ann Arbor St	open
A&w Restaurant	Quick service		8220 Dexter Chelsea Rd	open
Alpha Coney Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7049 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	195 Baker Rd	open
Argiero's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7049 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd # 8568	open
Aubree's Pizzeria & Grill Aubree's Pizzeria & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · American	8031 Main St	open
Avalon International New Center Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2319 Bishop Cir E	open
Bear Claw Coffee	Café	Coffee	8074 Main St	open
Bearclaw Coffee Co. Bearclaw Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9188 N Territorial Rd	open
Carosello Pasta	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	3126 Broad St	open
Chela's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7065 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Classic Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8015 Huron St	open
Cottage Inn Pizza Cottage Inn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3219 Broad St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	Dairy Queen Store 8041 Main St	open
Dexter Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	8101 Main St	open
Dexter Brunch House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	8124 Main St	open
Dexter Cider Mill	Bakery	Bakery	3685 Central St	open
Dexter Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8106 Main St	open
Dexter Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	8066 Main St	open
Dexter's Pub	Casual dining · Bar		8114 Main St	open
Erratic Ale Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8080 Grand St Ste 3	open
Fireworks on the Farm	Winery / distillery / taproom		6620 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Foggy Bottom Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	7065 Ann Arbor Dexter Rd.	open
Food Zone Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7023 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
GRAMS Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	Ann Arbor Street	open
Highline Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		3126 Broad St	open
Hotel Hickman Chuckwagon Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	8050 Main St	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7011 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Joe and Rosie Coffee and Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	8074 Main St	open
Jolly Pumpkin Artisan Ales + Kitchen	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		2319 Bishop Cir E	open
La Marsa Dexter La Marsa Brighton	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	7049 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	101 Baker Rd	open
Mr Pita	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7050 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Neal Family Neighborhood Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3219 Broad St	open
Noble Roman's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2940 Baker Rd	open
North Peak Beer	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2319 Bishop Cir E	open
Northern United Brewing Company LLC.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2319 Bishop Cir E	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings · Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern	200 Baker Rd	open
Pulse Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	7045 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Raterman Bread Haus and Bistro	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	8080 Grand St #1b	open
Red Brick Kitchen & Bar	Casual dining · Bar		8093 Main St	open
Riverview Cafe Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	8124 Main St	open
Sandhill Crane Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3685 Central St	open
Social Vines	Winery / distillery / taproom		6620 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	7080 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	750 Baker Rd	open
Sushi Time	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Japanese · Sushi · American	7050 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd Ste 100	open
Terry B's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7954 Ann Arbor St	open
The Beer Grotto - Dexter	Casual dining · Bar		8059 Main St	open
Wings N Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3220 Broad St	open
Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7097 Dexter Ann Arbor Rd	open
Dexter Capital Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8031 Main St	closed
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8135 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	17	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	17	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	18	17	7	8	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	16	14	5	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	15	6	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	23	21	9	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	21	19	8	7	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	22	21	8	8	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	22	21	10	7	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	22	20	8	7	5	1	NAICS2007
2012	23	20	6	9	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	25	22	8	9	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	24	21	8	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	26	23	6	12	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	20	6	9	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	23	21	6	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	22	7	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	21	7	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	22	8	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	22	7	9	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	20	8	7	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	22	9	8	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48130. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.