BMIE Market 48141

Wayne County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,428 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±576 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,366 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,645 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$39,252 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,170 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$80,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,672 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48141
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-27.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48141. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.5	54	40%	+21.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.8	55	35%	+19.2
Market Momentum Score	21.5	22	25%	+5.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,428	86	40%	+34.2
Median household income (ACS)	39,252	6	40%	+2.3
Households (ACS)	9,750	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.2	97	25%	+24.3
Population (ACS)	25,428	86	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	39,252	6	20%	+1.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-27.3	10	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · BBQ 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
7 Manhattan Fish & Chicken Avalon & Middlebelt	Restaurant (service type not stated)		932 Middlebelt Rd	open
American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		27412 Michigan Ave	open
Bbq Central	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · BBQ · Japanese · Asian	1549 Middlebelt Rd	open
Bogart's Lounge	Bar		30100 Michigan Ave	open
Captain Jay's Fish & Chicken	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	1121 Middlebelt Rd	open
China Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	30257 Cherry Hill Rd	open
Citi Praise Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	351 Inkster Rd	open
Clayton's Kitchen & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	3736 Inkster Rd	open
Corden's Candy Carousel	Dessert		26300 Michigan Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	26706 Michigan Ave	open
Demeko's Kitchen & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	28640 Michigan Ave	open
Downtown Plymouth Post Bar	Bar · Casual dining			open
FAB Snackz	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	203 Henry Ruff Rd	open
Fisherman's Net	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	27455 Michigan Ave	open
Gracie See Pastaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	26734 Michigan Ave	open
Hot Rodz Bar N Grill	Bar	American	1082 Inkster Rd	open
Inkster Captain Jay's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1121 Middlebelt Rd, Inkster, MI 48141	open
Jon's Goodtime Bar and Grill	Bar	BBQ · American	27553 Cherry Hill Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings		open
Kick'n chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	26717 Michigan Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	29403 Michigan Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1021 Inkster	open
Lolly's Table	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	26870 Norfolk St	open
Maria's Coney Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)		27545 Cherry Hill Rd	open
Nu Wave Fish 'n' Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	29375 Cherry Hill Rd	open
Papa's Pizza Papa's Pizza & BBQ - Berkley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Pizza	1025 Middlebelt Rd	open
Rising Hope Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	26091 Trowbridge St	open
Stardust Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		3736 Inkster Rd	open
Stardust Luxury Lounge	Bar		3736 Inkster rd	open
Tubby's Grilled Submarines	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29403 Michigan Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	16	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	20	13	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	19	12	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	17	10	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	19	12	5	6	1	7	NAICS1997
1999	19	12	6	5	1	7	NAICS1997
2000	17	11	5	5	1	6	NAICS1997
2001	17	9	3	5	1	8	NAICS1997
2002	16	9	3	5	1	7	NAICS1997
2003	17	11	5	5	1	6	NAICS2002
2004	15	9	3	5	1	6	NAICS2002
2005	18	11	5	5	1	7	NAICS2002
2006	15	9	3	5	1	6	NAICS2002
2007	16	12	2	8	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	2	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	14	10	2	6	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	14	7	2	4	1	4	NAICS2007
2011	13	8	2	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	15	9	3	4	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	14	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	12	9	5	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	6	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48141. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48135	2.4 mi	53	2023
48186	2.6 mi	22	2023
48125	3.1 mi	19	2023
48127	3.5 mi	96	2023
48128	3.6 mi	13	2023
48124	3.7 mi	97	2023
48184	4.1 mi	28	2023
48185	4.3 mi	112	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.