BMIE Market 48160

Monroe County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,972 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±597 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,947 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,785 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,004 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,453 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,068 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,177 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$265,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,956 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	77.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48160
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+41.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48160. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.2	78	40%	+31.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.9	60	35%	+21.0
Market Momentum Score	62.7	63	25%	+15.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,972	75	40%	+30.2
Median household income (ACS)	103,453	83	40%	+33.2
Households (ACS)	4,947	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.2	64	25%	+15.9
Population (ACS)	13,972	75	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	103,453	83	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	41.7	88	50%	+43.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	13.3	41	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 9 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1189 Dexter St	open
Bobby's Kitchen	Casual dining	American	422 Wabash St	open
Botanical Bakeshop	Bakery	Bakery	508 County St	open
China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	29 E Main St	open
Cottage Inn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	527 W Main St	open
Dairy Barn	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	Dexter St	open
Don Juan Mexican Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	39 E Main St	open
Fenders Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		20 Wabash St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	14137 Plank Rd	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6 W Main St	open
JR's Concessions	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8700 Carpenter Rd	open
JR's Hometown Grill & Pub (Milan)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1000 Dexter St	open
Life is Sweet Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	42 E Main St	open
Lighthouse Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	9 W Main St	open
Little Caesar's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	300 E Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	527 W Main St	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1154 Dexter St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1177 Dexter Street	open
Milan Bakery and Diner	Casual dining · Bakery	American · Bakery	1035 Dexter St	open
Milan Coffee Works	Coffee shop	Coffee	508 County St	open
Milan Coney Island	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1152 Dexter St #1162	open
Milan Dairy Barn	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	805 Dexter St	open
milan road angels	Bar		13220 Petersburg Rd	open
Milan Station Eatery	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	422 Wabash St	open
Original Gravity Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		440 County St	open
Peppers Mexican Grill Milan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	39 E Main St	open
Rich Grains Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1115 Dexter St	open
Roy's BBQ & Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Burgers · American	25 Wabash St	open
Shawarma Twins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Middle Eastern · Sandwiches	37 E Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1156 Dexter St Unit 5	open
Taco Bell KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	1180 Dexter Street	open
The Owl	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	9 W Main St	open
TOARMINA'S PIZZA - MILAN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	225 Wabash St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	18	16	5	9	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	3	9	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	16	13	3	9	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	18	16	5	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	18	15	4	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	19	15	4	9	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	19	15	5	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	21	17	6	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	22	19	9	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	15	5	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	2	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	21	18	3	12	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	21	17	4	11	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	21	17	5	9	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	21	16	4	9	3	4	NAICS2012
2013	21	17	4	10	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	22	19	6	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	20	17	5	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	19	16	5	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	19	15	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	14	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	14	3	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	18	5	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	17	4	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48160. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.