BMIE Market 48166

Monroe County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±925 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,248 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,569 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,666 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,592 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,840 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,202 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$234,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48166
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48166. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.8	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.3	53	35%	+18.6
Market Momentum Score	66.3	66	25%	+16.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,056	76	40%	+30.2
Median household income (ACS)	69,592	46	40%	+18.5
Households (ACS)	5,248	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.0	92	25%	+23.0
Population (ACS)	14,056	76	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	69,592	46	20%	+9.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	133.3	88	20%	+17.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 6 · Café 2 · Other 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Big Al's Greens & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		9090 Armstrong Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3270 Newport Rd	open
Buscemi's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	5071 N Dixie Hwy	open
Buscemi's Pizza And Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7850 N Telegraph Rd	open
El Maguey Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5144 N Dixie Hwy	open
Fifth Wheel Family Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	8500 N Telegraph Rd	open
Gino's Italian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7862 N Dixie Hwy # 9776	open
Gravel Pit	Bar			open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		8638 N Telegraph Rd	open
Little Vinny's Drive-in	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs	4228 Pointe Aux Peaux Rd	open
Mary Sacco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3132 Newport Rd	open
Nana's Kettle Corn Kitchen	Food truck		9621 Swan Creek Rd	open
Newport Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3132 Newport Rd	open
Nutrition 19	Café	Coffee	5071 N Dixie Hwy	open
OverTime Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		8794 Swan Creek Rd	open
Sammy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3132 Newport Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8638 N Telegraph Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8733 Swan Creek Rd	open
Swirls Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8707 Swan Creek Rd	open
The Mitten Cafe & Bakeshop	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8799 Swan Creek Rd	open
The Point	Bar · Casual dining		4717 Dewey Rd	open
Traci's Creekside Cantina	Bar		7650 Waters St	open
Verna's Bar and Grill - Newport, MI	Casual dining · Bar		7900 N Dixie Hwy	open
Vincent V's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	7497 Lakeshore Dr	open
Bear Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7101 N Dixie Hwy	closed
Pinky's Bar & Grill	Bar		4717 Dewey Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	—	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	6	1	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	5	—	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	7	2	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	8	2	1	1	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	10	3	1	2	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	9	2	1	1	—	7	NAICS1997
2001	8	3	2	1	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	11	4	4	—	—	6	NAICS1997
2003	10	3	3	—	—	6	NAICS2002
2004	9	4	3	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	10	4	4	—	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	9	3	3	—	—	5	NAICS2002
2007	8	4	3	—	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	10	4	3	1	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	13	7	3	3	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	13	8	3	3	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	12	6	2	3	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	12	7	2	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	14	8	3	4	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	14	9	4	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	12	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	11	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	13	5	—	3	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	10	5	—	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	11	6	—	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	12	7	—	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	12	7	—	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	12	7	—	4	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	12	7	—	4	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48166. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48179	3.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.