BMIE Market 48169

Livingston County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,519 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±816 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,346 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,813 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,926 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$109,329 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,606 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,202 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$373,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,652 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48169
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+29.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+175.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 18–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48169. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.7	84	40%	+33.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.7	58	35%	+20.2
Market Momentum Score	27.7	28	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,519	82	40%	+32.7
Median household income (ACS)	109,329	86	40%	+34.5
Households (ACS)	8,346	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.7	70	25%	+17.4
Population (ACS)	20,519	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	109,329	86	20%	+17.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.4	23	50%	+11.6
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	29.4	52	20%	+10.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · American 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 12 · Coffee shop 8 · Quick service 7 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aunt Betty's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	126 W Main St	open
BIGGBY COFFEE Biggby	Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	9658 Chilson Commons Cir	open
Camel Toe Bar MIS Infield	Bar		69 Camel Toe Drive	open
Camp Big Silver	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2929 Tiplady Rd	open
Cap'n Frosty Icecreamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9245 Bernice Dr	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	106 W Main St	open
Dam Site Inn	Bar		4095 Patterson Lake Rd	open
Dexter Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	123 Pearl St	open
Dope dogs	Bar		99 your mom	open
E & G Enterprise Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		150 S Howell St	open
Fondness Sushi bar, Hibachi grill, and Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	102 S Howell St	open
Go To Hell, Mi	Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	4045 Patterson Lake Rd	open
Hamburg Coney Island	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9580 Chilson Commons Cir Ste 3B	open
Hazy Shores Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	153 E Main St	open
Hell Saloon	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		4095 Patterson Lk Rd	open
Hollon's Corner Tavern	Bar			open
Horse Feathers Kitchen & Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2345 Equus Hills Drive	open
HorseFeathers Kitchen & Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	2345 Equus Hills Dr	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9646 Chilson Commons	open
Krazy Kookie Mama	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery		open
La Vita Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 S Howell St	open
Laddy’s Shawarma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher	9670 Chilson Commons Cir	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1277 E Michigan 36	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1222 E M 36	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1184 M-36	open
Mela's Filipino American smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5589 M-36	open
Mimi's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	5589 E M 36 #7	open
Mugg&Bopps Mugg&Bopps	Quick service · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	211 E Main St	open
NautiMI on the River	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	9260 Mcgregor Rd	open
O'Pestka's Pub	Bar		M36	open
Ore Creek Craft Cider	Winery / distillery / taproom		9280 Mcgregor Rd	open
Pinckney Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	150 S Howell St	open
Pinckney Pub & Grill	Bar		10292 Dexter Pinckney Rd	open
Portage River Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	9800 Toma Rd	open
Pub Webb	Bar		11719 Ridge Dr	open
Pub Webb #2	Bar		2904 Indian Trl	open
Rise n Grind Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	5300 E M 36	open
Riverside Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	9310 Mcgregor Rd	open
Scream's Ice Cream & Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4025 Patterson Lake Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	1277 E M 36	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	9700 Chilson Commons Circle	open
Stonehouse Cafe	Café	Coffee	9560 Chilson Cmns	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9662 Chilson Commons Circle	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1278 East MI-36	open
That Coffee Place	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	5360 E Michigan 36	open
The Lakes Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 S Howell St	open
The Smoke Doctor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5589 E M 36	open
The Tompkins Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		2430 Calvin Ct	open
Towne Square Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	117 E Main St	open
Tubby's Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	850 E Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1230 M-36	open
Zukey Lake Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	5011 Girard Dr	open
Go Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	109 E Main St	closed
Ljhc Llc D.b.a. Mimis Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5589 E M 36	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	16	5	8	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	5	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	22	20	7	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	25	21	9	7	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	28	24	8	11	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	26	24	7	13	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	19	5	11	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	23	21	7	11	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	24	21	8	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	22	9	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	26	24	9	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	20	8	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	26	23	9	11	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	29	27	12	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	25	23	9	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	23	9	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	23	8	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	22	6	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	23	8	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	23	8	12	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	22	8	10	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48169. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48143	4.9 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.