BMIE Market 48211

Wayne County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,419 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±739 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,719 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±194 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,082 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,201 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$35,725 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,997 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,044 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±98 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$78,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,713 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48211
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48211. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	38.0	38	40%	+15.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.5	54	35%	+18.7
Market Momentum Score	79.6	80	25%	+19.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,419	62	40%	+24.7
Median household income (ACS)	35,725	4	40%	+1.6
Households (ACS)	1,719	59	20%	+11.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	83.3	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.3	36	25%	+9.1
Population (ACS)	5,419	62	20%	+12.4
Median household income (ACS)	35,725	4	20%	+0.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	83.3	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	22.2	47	20%	+9.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · American 4 · Chicken / wings 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
18th Street Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	8800 Conant St	open
82 OAK	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8295 Oakland St	open
Apex Bar	Bar		7649 Oakland St	open
Black Bottom Brew Club	Brewery / taproom · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	7500 Oakland St	open
Dan & Vi's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5951 Chene St	open
El Capri Lounge	Bar		1673 Grand Blvd E	open
Ellis Island Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	1545 Clay St Unit 6	open
Funkroom Detroit	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2841 Grand Blvd E	open
Grandy's Coney Island	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1200 Holbrook	open
Home Sweet Home Specialty Bakeshop	Bakery	Bakery	2785 E Grand Blvd Ste 399	open
Ivanhoe Cafe	Café	Coffee · German / Eastern European · European	5249 Joseph Campau Ave	open
King Fish Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1167 E Grand Blvd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1140 Clay Street	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3700 E Edsel Ford Fwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1680 E Grand Blvd	open
Krystal Korner	Bar		5700 Canton St	open
Legends Coney Island	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5805 Mt Elliott St	open
MJ's North End Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8801 Oakland Ave	open
Officially Thai'd	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	2785 E Grand Blvd	open
Oliver's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3501 Hamtramck Dr	open
Royal Barbecue Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Pizza	5844 Mt Elliott St	open
Sepia Coffee	Café	Coffee	2831 E Grand Blvd	open
Studio Got Mixes?	Bar		1600 Clay St	open
Super Coney Island	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1141 Clay St	open
Temple Plaza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1600 Clay St	open
The Gathering Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	2831 E Grand Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	16	10	3	6	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	16	11	3	7	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	14	9	4	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	12	8	2	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	11	8	2	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	3	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	3	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	14	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48211. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48202	1.7 mi	47	2023
48212	2.0 mi	41	2023
48201	2.5 mi	68	2023
48213	2.8 mi	19	2023
48207	2.8 mi	52	2023
48206	3.2 mi	6	2023
48214	3.2 mi	18	2023
48208	3.3 mi	6	2023
48234	3.4 mi	27	2023
48226	3.5 mi	118	2023
48243	3.6 mi	6	2023
48203	4.1 mi	28	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.