BMIE Market 49221

Lenawee County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	41,087 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±656 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,658 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	41,310 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,292 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,977 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,984 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$992 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$170,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,043 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	119.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	63 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 49221
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+8.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	62 (range 56–67) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 49221. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.8	73	40%	+29.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.8	47	35%	+16.4
Market Momentum Score	20.2	20	25%	+5.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	41,087	94	40%	+37.7
Median household income (ACS)	65,977	40	40%	+16.2
Households (ACS)	15,658	94	20%	+18.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.4	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.3	52	25%	+12.9
Population (ACS)	41,087	94	20%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	65,977	40	20%	+8.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.0	22	50%	+10.9
10-year restaurant growth	-7.4	20	30%	+5.9
20-year restaurant growth	-10	17	20%	+3.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (149)

By cuisine

American 26 · Pizza 19 · Coffee 15 · Mexican 13 · Sandwiches 13 · Bakery 9 · Chinese 9 · Dessert 9 · Burgers 8 · Asian 7 · Italian 6 · Breakfast 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 91 · Quick service 27 · Bar 18 · Casual dining 16 · Dessert 13 · Bakery 11 · Café 11 · Coffee shop 9 · Specialty food shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Food truck 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Buffet 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
223 Grill & Chill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2275 E US Highway 223	open
Alpha Koney Island	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	422 N Main St	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1396 S Main St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1359 S Main St	open
Asian Buffet	Buffet	Asian · Chinese	1374 S Main St	open
Aubree's Pizzeria & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1329 S Main St	open
Aunt Millie's Bakery Outlet	Bakery	Bakery	971 W Beecher St	open
Bee's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2725 Spielman Heights Dr	open
Benito's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	147 Toledo St	open
Big Boy Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	126 N Broad St	open
Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1251 N Main St	open
BIGGBY COFFEE Biggby	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1441 US-223	open
Biggie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert · Café	Pizza · Bakery · Italian · Dessert · Coffee	1110 S Main St	open
Biggie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1357 S Main St	open
Birdies on the Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4110 Country Club Rd	open
Bits & Brews	Casual dining · Bar	American	1368 Division St	open
Black Swan Coffee	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1018 N Main St	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1417 S Main St	open
Brenda's Little Taste Of Texas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	104 Toledo St	open
Brenda's Little Taste of Texas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1416 S Main St #390	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	125 East US 223	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1225 N Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · American	1400 S Main St	open
Cancun Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1054 S Main St	open
Centre Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1800 US-223	open
Chaloner & Co	Bar		108 W Maumee St	open
China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1535 W Maumee St	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1557 W Maumee St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1421 S Main St	open
Chomp Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	240 N Main St	open
Club 109	Bar		109 S Main St	open
Coast to Coast Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1114 S Winter St Ste D	open
Copper House Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	110 W Maumee St	open
Cotton Brewing Company	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Spanish / tapas · Asian	343 Lawrence St	open
Cotton Brewing Company	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		626 Oak St	open
Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	4315 N Adrian Hwy	open
Country Skillet	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1422 S Main St	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1360 South Main Street	open
Delega Investments, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		149 N Main St	open
Dempsey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	136 E Maumee St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1113 West Beecher	open
Dragon Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	730 S Main St	open
Dynamic Blendz U Top It Frozen Yogurt	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	2011 W Beecher Rd Ste A	open
Enzos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1357 S Main St	open
Family Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2984 Treat Hwy	open
Farver's	Bar		129 E Maumee St	open
Fazoli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1368 Division St	open
Fiesta Ranchera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1675 E US Highway 223	open
Flying Otter Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3402 Chase Rd	open
Fox's Candy Shoppe	Dessert		131 S McKenzie St	open
Frickers Fricker's Restaurants	Bar · Casual dining		720 S Main St	open
Frickers Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		720 S Main St	open
Frosty Boy	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	205 E Church St	open
Golden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1002 S Main St	open
Governor Croswell Tea Room & Restaurant	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea · British / Irish pub food	125 E Maumee St	open
H.e. Lyons Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10125 W US Highway 223	open
Hoagie Man Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	103 Sand Creek Hwy	open
Hometown Pizza At Clarks Corner	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	2512 Hunt Rd	open
Hometown Pizza At Midway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2401 Occidental Hwy	open
Hooligan's Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		113 E Maumee St	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	802 W Maumee St.	open
Jake's Smokehouse Southwest Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1225 N Main St	open
Jakes' Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1567 W Maumee St	open
Jenny's Diner Food Trailer	Food truck		2352 Treat St	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Other	Sandwiches	1376 Division St	open
Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1407 W Maumee St	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1390 S Main St	open
Jia He Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1557 W Maumee St	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1502 W Maumee St	open
Jr's Hometown Grill And Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1368 Division St	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	930 Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	930 South Main Street	open
Lana’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	125 E Maumee St	open
Lenawee Recreation Bowling Ctr	Restaurant (service type not stated)		520 College Ave	open
Lesters diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1567 W Maumee St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1540 W Maumee St	open
Lotus Palace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	134 N Main St	open
Lunch Box	Quick service		107 N Main St	open
Luscious Dessertz Llc	Dessert	Dessert	1565 W Maumee St	open
Luscious Dessertz LLC	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert	1114 S Winter St	open
Magic Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1357 S Main St	open
Mammoth Distilling Mammoth Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		108 E Maumee St	open
Mancino's Pizza Grinders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1416 S Main St	open
Mancinos Mancino's Pizza & Grinders of Glasgow, KY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	1416 S Main St	open
Mandy Makes N' Bakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	117 N Main St	open
Maple City Diner, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1422 S Main St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	923 S Main St	open
Maria’s Sunnyside Cafe	Café	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee	2495 E Maumee St	open
Mario's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	921 E Beecher St	open
McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1001 South Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	1235 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1080 E US Highway 223	open
McDonald's	Quick service		1960 Sand Creek Hwy	open
Miller's Family Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1545 W Maumee St	open
Mitten Hospitality Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1329 S Main St	open
Monahans Meat Shack and Crispy Cluckin’ Chicken	Food truck		3369 N Adrian Hwy	open
Morning Fresh Bakeries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Breakfast	3223 N Adrian Hwy	open
Musgrove + Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	110 W Maumee St	open
New China Buffet Adrian	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	2584 S Main St	open
Ninjaz Japanese Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2275 US 223, B	open
Nova's Soda Pop Candy Shop	Dessert		105 E Church St	open
Numazu Delights	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4460 W US Highway 223	open
Numazu Delights	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	410 E Maumee St	open
Nutrition 365	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	110 N Main St	open
Old China Super Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	main st	open
Oliver's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2982 W Beecher Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	1469 E US Highway 223	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	802 W Maumee St	open
Papa's Coney Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2275 E US Highway 223	open
Parìs Cafè	Bakery	Bakery	1100 S Main St	open
Periwinkle Development Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1535 W Maumee St	open
Pizza Bucket	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	143 S Winter St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1515 E US Hwy 223 Lenawee	open
Poquito Chapulin Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican	116 S Winter St	open
Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1109 E US Highway 223	open
Rcj Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		802 W Maumee St	open
Red Lobster Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1420 S Main St	open
Rick’s Bar	Bar		824 E Hunt St	open
Sauce Italian Grill & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	Italian	149 N Main St	open
Senorita's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1325 N Main St Ste F	open
Shade Shack	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1357 S Main St	open
Sheng Rong Food Service Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1374 S Main St	open
SkyTech Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		726 N Main St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1515 US-223	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	523 N Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1601 E US Highway 223	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1422 S Main Suite A	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1106 N. Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1024 South Main St.	open
Tamales factory Tamale Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	944 E Beecher St	open
The Brick Wall Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	114 W Maumee St	open
The Buzz Cafe and Marketplace	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	110 E Maumee St	open
The Dough Whisperer	Bakery	Bakery	910 Comstock St	open
The Gizzard Shack	Café	American · Coffee	440 E Beecher St	open
The Grasshopper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	116 S Winter St	open
The Heat Wave	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	725 Bradish St Suite B	open
The Lounge - Adrian College	Bar		110 S Madison St	open
The Moose Lodge #1034	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		111 S Main St	open
The Spotted Cow	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1336 N Main St	open
The Spotted Cow	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1671 US-223	open
The Steak Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Steakhouse	602 N Dean St	open
The Tavern on 223	Bar · Casual dining		10125 US-223	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	727 S Main St	open
Tip Top Restaurant	Casual dining	American	814 W Maumee St	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1367 Division Street	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4412 Maumee Street	open
WOW Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	147 S Charles St	open
Funky Dawgs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1357 S Main St	closed
Wendy's	Quick service		644 S Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	67	58	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	63	55	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	70	60	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	73	64	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	79	65	29	32	4	10	NAICS1997
1999	75	61	26	30	5	10	NAICS1997
2000	83	67	30	34	3	10	NAICS1997
2001	83	67	27	36	4	10	NAICS1997
2002	82	67	25	35	6	10	NAICS1997
2003	85	70	26	36	7	9	NAICS2002
2004	89	74	30	36	7	8	NAICS2002
2005	80	65	26	32	6	8	NAICS2002
2006	78	65	27	30	6	7	NAICS2002
2007	81	68	28	34	5	7	NAICS2002
2008	79	65	24	34	6	9	NAICS2007
2009	80	68	26	35	6	7	NAICS2007
2010	75	65	26	33	5	5	NAICS2007
2011	72	62	24	32	4	5	NAICS2007
2012	78	68	25	32	9	4	NAICS2012
2013	78	68	25	32	9	3	NAICS2012
2014	75	64	26	31	6	2	NAICS2012
2015	75	65	26	32	6	3	NAICS2012
2016	73	60	24	30	6	3	NAICS2012
2017	76	61	24	34	3	7	NAICS2017
2018	83	67	28	35	4	8	NAICS2017
2019	83	67	25	37	5	8	NAICS2017
2020	78	63	24	33	6	8	NAICS2017
2021	82	66	24	38	4	8	NAICS2017
2022	79	62	24	34	4	9	NAICS2022
2023	79	63	24	35	4	8	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 49221. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.