BMIE Market 49254

Jackson County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,484 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±573 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,665 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±267 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,321 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,569 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,670 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,273 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$172,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,019 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 49254
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	30.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-10.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 49254. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.2	48	40%	+19.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.3	44	35%	+15.5
Market Momentum Score	54.5	54	25%	+13.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,484	55	40%	+21.9
Median household income (ACS)	63,750	37	40%	+14.7
Households (ACS)	1,665	58	20%	+11.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.8	25	25%	+6.4
Population (ACS)	3,484	55	20%	+10.9
Median household income (ACS)	63,750	37	20%	+7.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 4 · Burgers 3 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Café 4 · Quick service 3 · Bar 2 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	4061 Page Ave	open
Andy's Pizza Andy's Pizza and Coney Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	311 5th St	open
Arby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4341 Page Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4080 Page Ave	open
Cassies Corner	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4200 Page Ave	open
Corner Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	4347 Page Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service	Burgers · American	224 5th St	open
For Goodness Cakes LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	309 5th St	open
Hunan Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	108 Stillwell Ave	open
KickStart Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	105 5th St	open
Kimmie K's Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	49202, 4540 Page Ave	open
Los Tres Amigos Los Tres Amigos Jackson	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	328 5th St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4000 Page Ave	open
Page One Bar	Bar		4201 Page Ave	open
R Bar	Bar		4201 Page Ave	open
Scott & Ang's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4540 Page Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4000 Page Ave #F	open
Yes Sir/e Bob Inc	Other	Sandwiches	4000 Page Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	2	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	12	4	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	3	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	4	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	8	2	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	10	9	1	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	1	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 49254. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
49203	4.0 mi	40	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.