BMIE Market 49306

Kent County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,028 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,023 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,244 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,494 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$115,039 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,454 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$373,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,045 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 49306
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.16) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 49306. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.16, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.6	79	40%	+31.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.4	59	35%	+20.8
Market Momentum Score	26.4	26	25%	+6.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,028	72	40%	+28.9
Median household income (ACS)	115,039	89	40%	+35.4
Households (ACS)	4,129	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.6	96	25%	+24.0
Population (ACS)	11,028	72	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	115,039	89	20%	+17.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (12)

By cuisine

Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · American 1 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1

By type

Bar 5 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Casual dining 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Archival Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		6266 W River Dr NE	open
BC Pizza of Belmont	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2350 Belmont Center Dr NE	open
Flo's Collection	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian · Pizza	1259 Post Dr NE	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1604 Post Dr NE	open
Quickwater Coffee Roasters \| Belmont Quickwater Coffee Cedar Springs	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6231 W River Dr NE	open
Shots On The River	Casual dining · Bar	American	5760 W River Dr NE	open
Sweet Spot Ice Cream	Dessert · Quick service · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	6800 Cannonsburg Rd NE	open
The Cedar Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6800 Cannonsburg Rd NE	open
The Grilling Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4640 W River Dr NE	open
The Vestal Inn	Casual dining · Bar		6255 W River Dr NE	open
Trailside Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6294 Belmont Ave NE	open
Westwood At The Crossing	Bar		5760 West River Dr NE	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	4	1	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	10	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 49306. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
49525	3.9 mi	85	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.