BMIE Market 49670

Leelanau County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,784 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	787 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±101 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,891 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,845 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,133 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	62.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,058 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$559,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119,132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 49670
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	26.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+250.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+133.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 3–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 49670. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.6	62	40%	+24.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.0	42	35%	+14.7
Market Momentum Score	66.9	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,784	43	40%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	116,133	89	40%	+35.6
Households (ACS)	787	45	20%	+9.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	39.2	14	25%	+3.4
Population (ACS)	1,784	43	20%	+8.5
Median household income (ACS)	116,133	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	250	95	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 5 · Breakfast 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Bar 10 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Winery / distillery / taproom 6 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Around the Corner Food and Fun	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 S Waukazoo St	open
Baia Estate Winery Bottle Shop	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		107 W Nagonaba St	open
Barb's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	112 Mill St	open
Chetonka	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Dune Bird Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Café · Bar	Coffee	5620 N Manitou Trl	open
Earth, Wind, & Fryer	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Pizza	112 W Nagonaba St	open
FARO northport	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Breakfast	107 W Nagonaba St	open
Fingers Crossed	Casual dining · Bar	American	108 Waukazoo St	open
Fischer's Happy Hour Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	7100 N Manitou Trail	open
Green Bird Cellars and Farm	Winery / distillery / taproom		9825 E Engles Rd	open
New Bohemian Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	110 S Waukazoo St	open
Northport Pub & Grille	Casual dining · Bar		116 S Waukazoo St	open
Spice world cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	109 W Nagonaba St	open
Taqueria Mosqueda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	215 Mill St	open
The Big Hot Woody - North End Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	112 W Nagonaba St	open
The Mitten Brewing Company The Mitten Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		112 W Nagonaba St	open
The Ridge at Verterra	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8080 N Swede Rd	open
The Tribune	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	110 E Nagonaba St	open
Tucker's Of Northport	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	116 Waukazoo St	open
Verterra Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8080 Swede Rd	open
Yard & Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		215 Mill St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	4	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	3	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 49670. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.