BMIE Market 49712

Charlevoix County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,203 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,871 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,890 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,798 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,627 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$941 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$294,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,712 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	72.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 49712
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.41) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 49712. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.41, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.7	63	40%	+25.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.7	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	58.3	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,203	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	74,033	54	40%	+21.4
Households (ACS)	3,871	71	20%	+14.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	35%	+22.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.7	35	25%	+8.9
Population (ACS)	8,203	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	74,033	54	20%	+10.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.3	63	50%	+31.5
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	6.3	38	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 11 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
202 Lake Street Partners, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	202 S Lake St Ste A	open
Alpine Chocolat Haus Alpine Chocolat Haus Gaylord	Dessert	Dessert	1 Water St	open
B.C. Pizza \| Boyne City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1191 M-75	open
Beani's Coffee Lounge	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	120 Water St	open
Bella Vita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2911 Boyne City Rd	open
Boyne City B.C. Pizza B.C. Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1191 M-75 S.	open
Boyne River Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom	American	419 E Main St	open
Boyne River Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	229 Water St	open
BRI	Bar	American · Burgers	229 E Water St	open
Cafe Sante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	European · Coffee	1 Water St	open
Casa Tequila Mexican Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	5 W Main St	open
Eagle's Lodge Foe 1583	Bar		106 River St	open
Friggy's Sobo Pub	Bar		5 W Main St	open
GiGi's Tiki Bar On Deer Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	439 E Deer Lake Rd	open
Gildas' Lake Street Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	110 S Lake St	open
Happy's Taco Shop	Food truck		251 S M 75	open
Happy’s Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		251 S M 75	open
Indo China Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	103 S Lake St	open
Kilwins Ice Cream - Chocolate - Fudge Kilwins	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	102 Water St	open
Lake Forest Baking Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 S Lake St	open
Lake Street Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	306 S Lake St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	500 N Lake St	open
Local Flavor	Café	Coffee	125 Water St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1112 Boyne Ave	open
Muskrat Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		121 Water St	open
North Perk Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	202 S Lake St	open
Ole' Timers Cluckin' Fried Chucken'	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern	220 S Lake St	open
Parkside Grill & Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	201 Water St	open
Pine Lake Lodge	Casual dining · Bar		220 S Lake St	open
Porter Creek Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	970 Marina Dr	open
Provisions Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 Water St	open
Red Mesa Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Latin American (other) · Mexican	117 Water St	open
Smokin Joes Bar B Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1315 Boyne Ave	open
Spicy Bob's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	472 N Lake St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	430 N Lake St	open
Stiggs Brewery & Kitchen Stiggs Brewery & Kitchen	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		112 S Park St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	114 Water St	open
Sunnyside	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	113 Water St	open
The Pointe Fish and Grille at Sommerset	Restaurant (service type not stated)		970 Marina Dr	open
The Venue Grill	Bar	American	1199 M-75 S	open
Thick N Juicy	Other	Sandwiches	104 Water St	open
Boppi's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	104 Water St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	13	9	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	17	16	11	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	12	8	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	16	10	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	16	15	10	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	16	11	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	19	18	12	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	19	17	10	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	16	15	8	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	6	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	8	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	8	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	9	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	16	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	16	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	18	11	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	21	14	8	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	22	16	8	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	22	16	6	9	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	22	17	7	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 49712. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.