BMIE Market 49740

Emmet County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,197 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,042 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,178 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,090 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$363,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,651 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	124.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 49740
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 19–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 49740. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.0	69	40%	+27.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.5	63	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	44.7	45	25%	+11.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,197	66	40%	+26.4
Median household income (ACS)	89,250	73	40%	+29.0
Households (ACS)	3,321	68	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	57.1	86	35%	+29.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	30.6	19	25%	+4.9
Population (ACS)	7,197	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	89,250	73	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	57.1	86	30%	+25.7
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

American 15 · Bakery 9 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · German / Eastern European 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 14 · Bakery 9 · Casual dining 9 · Café 8 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bar Harbor	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	100 State St	open
Bar Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 State St	open
Birch Tree Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	181 E Main St	open
Bloom WD	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean	8833 S Oak St	open
Boathouse of Harbor Springs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	105 E Bay St	open
Boyne Highlands Lodge Main Dining Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	600 Highlands Dr	open
Chang Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	930 S State St #8	open
Country Club of Boyne	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	334 Heather Dr	open
Crow's Nest	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4601 N State Rd	open
Decades Ice Cream and Treats	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8490 M-119	open
Dino's Lounge	Bar · Casual dining	American		open
Ginny's Deli Sauce LLC	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	8244 Boynton Rd	open
Gurney's Harbor Bottle Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bar	Sandwiches	215 E Main St	open
Harbor Springs B.C. Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	930 S State St	open
Hollywood Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Howse's Fudge	Dessert	Dessert	201 E Main St	open
Jeffrey M. Graham Enterprises, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		250 E Main St	open
Johan's Bagels & Grill	Bakery · Casual dining · Bar	Bakery	3473 Harbor-Petoskey Rd	open
Johan's Burger Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3473 M 119	open
Johan's Burger Express	Quick service		3473 M 119	open
Johan's Pastry Shop	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	201 State St	open
Kilwins Ice Cream - Chocolate - Fudge Kilwins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	139 E Main St	open
Little Traverse Bay Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	995 Hideaway Valley Dr # DR-9450	open
Muer Kitchens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Seafood	131 State St.	open
Mustang Wendys Cask & Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		129 E Bay St	open
My Sister's Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	107 Franklin St	open
Old World Cafe	Café	Coffee	6352 N Lake Shore Dr	open
Out To Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	7593 S State Rd	open
Paper Station Bistro	Casual dining · Bar	American	145 E Main St	open
Pier Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	102 E Bay St	open
Pierson's Grille & Spirits	Bar · Casual dining		130 State St	open
Piper's Mighty Good Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	974 W Conway Rd	open
Polish Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · Sandwiches	8418 M 119	open
Polish Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	8418 M 119	open
Rodrigo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7593 S State St	open
Sam's Graces Cafe & Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	339 State St	open
Seminole Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	334 Heather Dr	open
Slopeside Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		600 Highlands Dr	open
Small Batch At The Cupola	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	340 State St	open
Small Batch of Harbor Springs	Bakery	Bakery	117 W Main St	open
Stained Cup Coffee Co	Coffee shop	Coffee	181 E Main St	open
State Road Bar	Casual dining · Bar		2983 S State St	open
State Road Provisions Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2983 S State Rd	open
Teddy Griffin's Road House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		50 Highland Pike Rd	open
The Compass Room at True North Golf Club	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		2500 True N Dr	open
The Fish Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	South State Rd	open
The New York Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	101 State St	open
Tillie's Gourmet Cinnamon Rolls	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	300 W Lake St	open
Tom's Mom's Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	267 S Spring St	open
Trillium Woods Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	811 S Lake Shore Dr	open
Tunnel Vision Brewery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Bar	Coffee	5699 S Lake Shore Dr	open
Turkey's Cafe & Pizzeria	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Coffee	250 E Main St	open
Vernales Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	3018 M-119	open
Waffle Cabin The Highlands	Food truck		598 Highland Pike Rd	open
Willow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	129 E Bay St	open
Yummies	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	220 E Main St	open
Juilleret's Of Harbor Springs Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		130 State St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	17	14	10	1	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	18	16	8	3	5	2	NAICS1997
2000	17	15	8	4	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	21	18	10	3	5	3	NAICS1997
2002	20	17	10	4	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	20	16	9	4	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	22	18	10	3	5	2	NAICS2002
2005	20	17	10	2	5	2	NAICS2002
2006	20	17	10	3	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	21	18	10	4	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	17	11	2	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	18	16	9	3	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	20	16	8	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	16	9	3	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	17	8	4	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	14	7	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	25	18	11	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	27	20	12	3	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	27	21	13	4	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	30	26	15	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	31	26	15	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	29	14	7	8	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	22	12	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	21	13	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	21	13	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	22	13	5	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 49740. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.