BMIE Market 53206

Milwaukee County, Wisconsin · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,887 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,572 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±502 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	28,210 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,625 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$29,336 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,581 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$83,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,076 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 53206
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 53206. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Wisconsin and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 685, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.4	49	40%	+19.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.6	53	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	27.8	28	25%	+7.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,887	81	40%	+32.5
Median household income (ACS)	29,336	2	40%	+0.8
Households (ACS)	7,572	81	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.0	95	25%	+23.7
Population (ACS)	19,887	81	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	29,336	2	20%	+0.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (47)

By cuisine

American 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 18 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
23rd Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2745 N 23rd St	open
Ashley's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1501 W Center St	open
Bar 1000	Bar		3941 N Teutonia Ave	open
Big Larry's	Casual dining · Bar	American	2378 N 12th St	open
Big Man's Place	Bar		1934 W Capitol Dr	open
Caspar's Lounge	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1300 W Keefe Ave	open
Catfish Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3646 N Teutonia Ave	open
Center Street Fish Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1212 W Center St	open
Charm Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	2496 Lazy Creek Impasse	open
Cherry's Place	Bar		2401 N 12th St	open
Clarke Street Candy Land	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	2606 N Teutonia Ave	open
Coffee Makes You Black	Coffee shop	Coffee	2803 N Teutonia Ave	open
Da' Honeycomb Hideout	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2000 W Medford	open
El rancho Food truck	Food truck	Mexican	2222 W Capitol Dr	open
Fryerz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	2635 W Fond du Lac Ave	open
Ham House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2510 N Teutonia Ave	open
Henry's and Bobbie's Bungalow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3466 N 14th St	open
Hook Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2604 W Capitol Dr	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1301 W Atkinson Ave	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2161 W Hopkins St	open
JJ Fish & Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Seafood	1955 W Capitol Dr	open
Jus Gee Gee's	Bar · Quick service		3941 N Teutonia Ave	open
Karol`s Kitchen And Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2534 W Hopkins St	open
Kentucky Fried Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings		open
Kern's Penthouse	Bar		1201 W Wright St	open
Midnighter's Bar	Bar		3038 N Teutonia Ave	open
Mr. B's Sandwich Shop	Other	Sandwiches	3800 N Teutonia Ave	open
Navy's Cafe	Casual dining	American	1337 W Atkinson Ave	open
New Brothers Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		3251 N 8th St	open
Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Halal / kosher	2100 W Hopkins St	open
Redd Snapper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	1742 W Atkinson Ave	open
Rose's Place	Bar · Coffee shop	Coffee	2878 N 20th St	open
SandwichGod Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		807 W Atkinson Ave	open
Shagg's Place	Bar	American	2901 N 23rd St	open
Shananigans	Bar		3751 N Teutonia Ave	open
She’s Happy Treats	Dessert	Dessert	3660 N Teutonia Ave Ste 23	open
Sparkle Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2526 W Hopkins St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	2652 W Fond du Lac Ave	open
Tastee Twist	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2378 N Teutonia Ave	open
Tha Competition Sports Bar LLC.	Bar		3621 N Teutonia Ave	open
The Penthouse Lounge Mke	Casual dining · Bar		3621 N Teutonia Ave	open
The Pit Stop Mke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	807 W Atkinson Ave	open
T’z Sweets And Tobacco Llc	Dessert		3544 N Teutonia Ave	open
Vibe Lounge	Bar		2579 N Teutonia Ave	open
Warren's Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		2534 W Hopkins St	open
Yellow Castle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2900 N 12th St	open
Young's Bar	Bar		3573 N Teutonia Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	10	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	17	8	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1996	14	5	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	19	9	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	13	5	—	3	2	8	NAICS1997
1999	14	7	1	3	3	7	NAICS1997
2000	12	5	—	3	2	7	NAICS1997
2001	13	6	—	4	2	7	NAICS1997
2002	15	6	1	4	1	8	NAICS1997
2003	16	7	—	5	2	9	NAICS2002
2004	13	5	—	3	2	7	NAICS2002
2005	15	7	—	5	2	7	NAICS2002
2006	19	11	1	8	2	6	NAICS2002
2007	18	10	1	8	1	6	NAICS2002
2008	17	7	1	5	1	7	NAICS2007
2009	15	8	1	6	1	6	NAICS2007
2010	14	8	1	6	1	5	NAICS2007
2011	14	8	1	6	1	5	NAICS2007
2012	15	10	1	8	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	15	8	1	6	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	15	9	1	7	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	14	8	1	6	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	14	8	1	6	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	14	8	—	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	15	9	—	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2019	15	10	—	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	14	8	—	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	12	8	—	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	11	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	8	—	6	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 53206. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
53212	1.3 mi	37	2023
53205	1.5 mi	12	2023
53210	2.1 mi	13	2023
53216	2.3 mi	34	2023
53211	2.6 mi	60	2023
53233	2.6 mi	27	2023
53202	2.7 mi	199	2023
53203	2.7 mi	39	2023
53208	2.8 mi	30	2023
53209	3.7 mi	29	2023
53213	3.9 mi	66	2023
53204	3.9 mi	89	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.