BMIE Market 55014

Anoka County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,047 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,181 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,877 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,274 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,632 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,658 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,661 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$337,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,995 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55014
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+29.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+55.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+158.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 27–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55014. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.0	86	40%	+34.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.5	82	35%	+28.5
Market Momentum Score	78.8	79	25%	+19.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,047	88	40%	+35.3
Median household income (ACS)	103,658	83	40%	+33.3
Households (ACS)	10,877	87	20%	+17.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	55	85	35%	+29.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.7	70	25%	+17.4
Population (ACS)	29,047	88	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	103,658	83	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	29.2	83	50%	+41.5
10-year restaurant growth	55	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	40.9	59	20%	+11.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

Mexican 9 · Pizza 9 · Coffee 7 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · American 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 11 · Bar 9 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annie's Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9123 S Highway Dr	open
Apple Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 S Pine Dr Ste D	open
Barble Hospitality, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3800 Restwood Rd	open
Bistro La Roux	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	9372 Lexington Ave N	open
Blue Collar BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4115 Woodland Rd	open
Boulevard Bar & Grille - Lexington	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3800 Restwood Rd	open
Brito's Burrito Brito's Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	9372 Lexington Ave NE	open
Burger King	Quick service		9390 Lexington Ave N	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4125 Ball Rd NE	open
Carbone's Bar and Grill Carbone's Minneapolis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9200 Lexington Ave NE	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3445 Lake Dr	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	730 Apollo Dr	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 S Pine Dr	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7601 Lake Drive	open
Chanticlear Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7771 Lake Dr	open
Chili Thai Cuisine & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	730 Apollo Dr Ste 110	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		9185 South Highway Drive	open
Coming Soon - Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		7701 Lake Dr	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4131 Woodland Rd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	625 Apollo Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	9370 Lexington Ave N	open
Don Julio Authentic Mexican Restaurant Don Julios Pine City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	701 Apollo Dr	open
Dunn Brothers Coffee Dunn Brothers Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9390 Lexington Ave NE	open
Eggroll Queen	Food truck		10250 Lexington Ave NE	open
El Loro Mexican Grill & Cantina El Loro Mexican Resteraunt	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	9141 S Hwy Dr	open
El Norte Mexican Bar & Grill	Bar	Mexican	3453 Lake Dr	open
El Zocalo Grill & Cantina El Zocalo Grill & Cantina - Blaine	Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	566 Lilac St	open
Fiesta Cancun Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	566 Lilac St	open
Firehouse Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3801 Restwood Rd	open
Fitch Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4131 Woodland Rd	open
Hammerheart Brewing	Brewery / taproom		7785 Lake Dr	open
Kingdom Baking	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	10130 Sunset Ave	open
Lifetree Café - Circle Pines, MN	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1 Shepherd Ct	open
Mac Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	717 Apollo Dr	open
Mama Mia Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	7997 Lake Dr	open
MC's Tap House - Lino Lakes	Bar · Casual dining		617 Apollo Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1 Central St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	610 Apollo Dr	open
My Taco Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7997 Lake Dr #110	open
Northern Delights	Bakery	Bakery	Circle Pines mn 55014	open
Pancho's Taqueria and Mexican Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4115 Woodland Rd	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9310 Lexington Ave N	open
Pelican Point	Bar		7384 Lake Dr	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 S Pine Dr	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	749 Apollo Dr	open
Pizza T	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6511 Ware Rd	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Red Oak Steaks & Wine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		566 Lilac St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	749 Apollo Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9388 Lexington Ave N	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4369 Ball Rd NE	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	609 Apollo Drive	open
Sunrise Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	8355 Lake Dr	open
The Rusty Cow Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	2 S Pine Dr	open
The Tavern On Main	Bar · Casual dining	American	8001 Lake Dr	open
Trappers Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		6810 Lake Dr	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4369 Ball Rd NE	open
Xpress Trucking	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6943 Lake Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	23	21	12	9	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	24	22	12	9	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	23	20	11	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	22	19	10	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	22	20	9	9	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	24	22	9	11	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	30	27	12	13	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	35	30	11	16	3	3	NAICS2002
2006	34	29	12	13	4	5	NAICS2002
2007	24	20	6	11	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	26	22	6	13	3	4	NAICS2007
2009	26	22	5	14	3	4	NAICS2007
2010	27	24	6	15	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	27	23	7	14	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	24	21	7	12	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	24	20	7	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	28	23	9	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	30	25	10	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	27	24	10	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	29	26	11	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	24	12	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	25	13	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	22	10	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	24	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	30	14	11	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	31	16	11	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55014. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55449	3.0 mi	55	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.