BMIE Market 55114

Ramsey County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,049 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±893 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,772 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,100 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,610 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,766 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,342 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,524 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$319,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46,207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55114
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	29.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 13–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55114. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.3	51	40%	+20.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.1	55	35%	+19.3
Market Momentum Score	74.2	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,049	61	40%	+24.3
Median household income (ACS)	62,766	35	40%	+13.9
Households (ACS)	2,772	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.8	29	25%	+7.2
Population (ACS)	5,049	61	20%	+12.1
Median household income (ACS)	62,766	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (46)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · Bakery 5 · American 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Mediterranean 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Italian 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 9 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Brewery / taproom 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service		503 Cleveland Ave N	open
Baker East Partners	Bakery	Bakery	821 Raymond Ave Ste 400	open
Bang Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2320 Capp Rd	open
Birch Tree Healing Arts	Restaurant (service type not stated)		970 Raymond Ave Ste G10	open
Bonnie's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2160 University Ave W	open
Buttercream Wedding Cakes & Desserts St Paul	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	682 Transfer Rd	open
Caffe Biaggio	Café	Italian · European · Coffee	2356 University Ave W	open
Caribe Caribbean Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Caribbean	791 Raymond Ave	open
Cheeky Harvest	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused		2327 Wycliff St Suite 275	open
Chocolat Celeste	Dessert	Dessert	652 Transfer Rd	open
Dogwood Coffee Dogwood Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	825 Carleton St	open
Dolan's Pub	Bar		765 Hampden Ave	open
Dual Citizen Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		725 Raymond Ave	open
Dunn Bros Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	2650 University Ave W	open
Egg and I	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2550 University Ave W #125n	open
Fair State Brewing Production Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2075 Ellis Ave	open
Foodstreet Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2561 Territorial Rd	open
Foxy Falafel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	791 Raymond Ave	open
Giovanis Consulting L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2400 University Ave W	open
Herbst Eatery & Farm Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	779 Raymond Ave	open
Hey Bear!	Other	Sandwiches	791 Raymond Ave	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2446 University Ave W	open
Keys Cafe Keys Cafe & Bakery Official Fan Page	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery	767 Raymond Ave	open
Khue's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	693 Raymond Ave	open
Khue’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	693 Raymond Ave	open
King Coil Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		550 Vandalia St	open
Lake Monster Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		550 Vandalia St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2213 University Ave W	open
Mobile Interlock Technologies	Dessert	Dessert	Vandalia	open
Port 2050 coffee roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2327 Wycliff St	open
Quality Intake Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		791 Raymond Ave	open
Roundtable Coffee Works	Coffee shop	Coffee	2386 Territorial Rd	open
SK Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	550 Vandalia St	open
Spicy Feta Spicy Feta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek · Halal / kosher	2400 University Ave W	open
St. Paul Classic Cookie Co.	Bakery	Bakery	2386 Territorial Rd	open
Steepr	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	680 Transfer Rd	open
Studio Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		2380 Wycliff St #140	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2121 University Ave West	open
Tact Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2386 W Territorial Rd	open
The Dubliner Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	2162 University Ave W	open
The Keys Restaurant On Raymond Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		767 Raymond Ave	open
The Lab - Pilot & QA Testing Facility	Brewery / taproom · Bar		767 Eustis St	open
Thumbs Cookies (by Robyn Frank)	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	801 Transfer Rd	open
Urban Growler Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2325 Endicott St	open
We Are Nuts!	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Workhorse Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2399 University Ave W	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	13	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	14	11	6	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	13	10	7	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	16	13	7	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	12	6	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	13	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	10	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	3	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	9	—	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	14	10	3	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	14	10	3	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	14	10	3	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	16	12	3	6	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	15	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55114. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55108	1.5 mi	34	2023
55414	1.6 mi	109	2023
55104	1.7 mi	85	2023
55455	2.1 mi	3	2023
55406	2.3 mi	58	2023
55454	2.4 mi	20	2023
55105	2.6 mi	77	2023
55415	3.1 mi	20	2023
55413	3.2 mi	50	2023
55404	3.3 mi	53	2023
55103	3.5 mi	30	2023
55407	3.6 mi	73	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.