BMIE Market 55316

Hennepin County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,294 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,604 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±379 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,089 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,598 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,981 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,689 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$358,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,073 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55316
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+39.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+95.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+457.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	42 (range 38–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55316. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.7	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.1	73	35%	+25.6
Market Momentum Score	80.6	81	25%	+20.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,294	84	40%	+33.6
Median household income (ACS)	116,102	89	40%	+35.6
Households (ACS)	8,604	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	39.3	77	35%	+26.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.7	47	25%	+11.7
Population (ACS)	23,294	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	116,102	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30	83	50%	+41.6
10-year restaurant growth	39.3	77	30%	+23.0
20-year restaurant growth	95	80	20%	+15.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (64)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Dessert 6 · Asian 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Mexican 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Japanese 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Filipino 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 15 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 10 · Café 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5-8 Grill & Bar 5-8 Club	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	6251 Douglas Ct N	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11978 Business Park Blvd N	open
Arigato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	11406 Marketplace Dr N	open
Broadway Pizza Broadway Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11186 Commerce Dr N	open
Brothers Tavern And Tequila Bar	Bar		12484 Champlin Dr	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	11580 Theater Drive	open
Buona Sera Ristorante	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	11949 W River Rd	open
Cafe Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	11175 Commerce Dr N	open
Cardinal Cookies	Bakery	Bakery		open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	11468 Jefferson Ct	open
Champlin Aquila Dr Erbert & Gerbert's	Quick service	Sandwiches	11350 Aquila Dr. N.	open
Champlin Palace Inn Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11186 Commerce Dr N	open
Chanticlear Pizza Chanticlear Pizza Grill - Coon Rapids	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11632 Winnetka Ave N	open
Char Blu	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	307 E River Pkwy	open
Chili Lime Cantina	Bar	Mexican	12490 Champlin Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11209 Aquila Dr N	open
Clive's Roadhouse Clive's Roadhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11680 Theatre Dr N	open
Cullens Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	10905 Douglas Dr N	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	11218 Commerce Dr. N.	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11200 Aquila Dr N	open
Dunn Bros Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	12496 Champlin Dr	open
El Toro Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10901 Douglas Dr N	open
Elm Creek Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		11469 Marketplace Dr N	open
Enjoy China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	11440 Marketplace Dr N	open
Erbert & Gerbert's Erbert & Gerbert's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	11350 Aquila Dr N	open
Ginza Sushi & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	11460 Jefferson Ct	open
Godfather's Pizza Champlin Godfather's Pizza Dayton, OH	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Cajun, Creole, Southern	12490 Champlin Dr	open
Happy Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Dessert	12381 Champlin Dr	open
Home Town Wellness	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	11656 Winnetka Ave N	open
Hudy's Cafe	Casual dining · Bar	American	11350 Aquila Dr N Ste 100	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	11995 Business Park Boulevard Suite 101	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	11468 Marketplace Dr N	open
Kaleidoscoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11175 Commerce Dr N	open
King of the Wing	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11469 Marketplace Dr N	open
Ku•ma•in	Food truck	Asian · Filipino	11350 Aquila Dr N	open
Leeann Chin Leeann Chin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	11219 Aquila Dr N	open
Life Cafe	Café	Coffee	11989 Champlin Dr	open
Lil' Orbits	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	8900 109th Ave N	open
Maverick's Wood Grill	Casual dining · Bar		11328 W River Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12321 Champlin Dr	open
Mi's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Chinese · Asian	516 Jefferson Hwy N	open
Minisota Play Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11191 Commerce Dr N	open
Minneapolis Kitchen Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11209 Commerce Dr N	open
Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	12496 Champlin Dr	open
Pancheros Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11460 Jefferson Ct Ste 103	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11351 Aquila Drive North	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11456 Jefferson Ct	open
Pizza Hut Express Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Pizza · Coffee · Bakery	11990 Business Park Blvd N	open
Pizza Ranch Pizza Ranch	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12443 Champlin Dr	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Pour Wine Bar & Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		12379 Champlin Dr	open
Q Fanatic BBQ & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	180 Miller Rd	open
Rt Lake Enterprise's, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		140 Miller Rd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11469 Marketplace Dr N	open
Sotashopmn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13630 Grove Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	11223 Aquila Dr N	open
Steve's Pub	Bar		11533 Mississippi Dr N	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	140 Miller Rd.	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	11351 Aquila Dr N	open
The Twisted Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11350 Aquila Dr N	open
Turkey King	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		11468 Marketplace Dr N	open
Where 2 Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	516 Jefferson Hwy N	open
Willy McCoy's Willy’s On The Water	Bar · Casual dining	American	12450 Business Park Blvd N	open
Yummy Buffet	Buffet		12379 Champlin Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	13	7	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	18	18	11	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	20	20	12	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	16	16	9	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	20	8	12	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	24	24	9	14	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	26	26	11	14	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	29	28	12	15	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	31	30	12	16	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	29	29	12	15	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	30	29	12	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	28	27	13	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	26	26	12	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	26	26	11	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	28	28	12	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	29	29	13	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	26	26	12	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	31	31	14	15	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	32	32	12	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	30	12	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	30	12	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	32	12	14	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	35	33	12	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	39	37	12	20	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	41	39	12	20	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55316. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55445	3.5 mi	25	2023
55433	3.6 mi	47	2023
55443	4.4 mi	49	2023
55369	4.4 mi	98	2023
55448	4.4 mi	48	2023
55327	4.5 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.