BMIE Market 55317
Carver County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,299 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±359 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,430 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±227 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,218 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,366 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $140,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,042 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,840 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $539,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,795 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55317 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +61.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 43–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55317. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.7 | 88 | 40% | +35.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67.8 | 68 | 35% | +23.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 65.6 | 66 | 25% | +16.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,299 | 83 | 40% | +33.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 140,385 | 95 | 40% | +38.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,430 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 35% | +22.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.8 | 40 | 25% | +10.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,299 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 140,385 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.7 | 65 | 50% | +32.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 30% | +18.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 61.5 | 71 | 20% | +14.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (85)
By cuisine
American 13 · Coffee 11 · Sandwiches 11 · Pizza 9 · Asian 7 · Burgers 6 · Mexican 6 · Bakery 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · BBQ 2 · Greek 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 19 · Bar 12 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Fast casual 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Applebee's Grill + Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 590 W 79th St | open | |
| Bonfire Wood Fire Cooking | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 560 W 78th St | open |
| Bongard's Creameries | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 18681 Lake Dr E | open |
| Bonsai Korean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 420 Pond Promenade | open |
| Brindisi's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 501 W 78th St | open | |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 550 W 79th St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7765 Century Blvd | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 800 W 78th St | open |
| Cc United Soccer Club Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7801 Park Dr Ste F | open | |
| Chanhassen Brewing Company- Taproom And Coffee Bar | Brewery / taproom | 951 W 78th St | open | |
| Chanhassen Butcher Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 590 W 79th St | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 445 W 79th St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 560 W 79th St | open |
| ChuckWagon Charlie's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 545 W 78th St | open |
| Crisp and Green CRISP & GREEN | Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 530 W 79th St | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 450 Pond Promenade | open |
| Dairy Queen | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1719 Lake Dr W | open |
| Dandy Lion Coffee Warehouse | Coffee shop | Coffee | 7924 Kerber Blvd | open |
| Davanni's Pizza & Hot Hoagies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 464 Lake Dr | open |
| Dog Park Gourmet Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · American | 7828 Market Blvd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 400 W 78th St | open |
| Driven Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2915 Water Tower Pl | open |
| Dunn Brothers Coffee | Café | Coffee | 7900 Market Blvd | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 7824 Market Blvd | open |
| El Jefe's Taco Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7755 Century Blvd | open |
| El Loro Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7874 Market Blvd | open |
| From Scratch Baking | Bakery | Bakery | 530 W 79th St | open |
| Gina Maria's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 330 Lake Dr E | open |
| Greek Grill & Fry Co. (we Moved To Eden Prairie) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 7824 Market Blvd | open |
| Greek Grill and Fry Co. | Casual dining · Bar | Greek · American | 380 Lake Dr E | open |
| Hackamore Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 18651 Lake Dr E | open | |
| High Timber Lounge | Bar | 591 W 78th St | open | |
| Hope Breakfast Bar Hope Breakfast Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 464 Lake Dr E | open |
| Houlihan's Houlihan's | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 530 Pond Promenade | open |
| International Theatres Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 501 W 78th St | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 945 W. 78th St. Suite 120 | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 7851 Market Blvd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2635 W 78th St | open |
| Jungle Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 460 Lake Dr | open |
| Kai's Sushi & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 586 W 78th St | open |
| Kona Ice Twin Cities | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | open | |
| Leeann Chin Leeann Chin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 963 W 78th St | open |
| LifeCafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 2901 Corporate Pl | open |
| Maggie Moo's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 600 Market St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 90 Lake Dr E | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 8971 Crossroads Blvd | open |
| Med Box Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Mediterranean | 600 Market St Ste 160 | open |
| Millie's Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 545 W 78th St | open |
| Na's Thai Cafe | Café | Thai · Coffee · Asian | 566 W 78th St | open |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 945 W 78th St | open |
| Northcott Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Market St Ste 230 | open | |
| Office Furniture Warehouse Of The Twin C | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 18670 Lake Dr E | open | |
| Orion Donuts | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 530 W 79th St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 531 W 79th St | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 424 Pond Promenade | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7878 Market Blvd. | open |
| Peaberry's Coffee & Tea House | Coffee shop | Coffee | 590 W 78th St | open |
| Perkins Restaurant & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 951 W 78th St | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 851 W 78th St | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Pizzaioli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 588 W 78th St | open |
| Potbelly Potbelly Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7905 Great Plains Blvd #100 | open |
| Red's Savoy Pizza Red's Savoy Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 530 W 79th St | open |
| Ruby’s Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7824 Market Blvd | open |
| Sara y Miguel's Terraza del Sol y Cervesa | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | 1091 Chaparral Ct | open |
| Smashburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7905 Great Plains Blvd | open |
| Sockdollager | Bar | Mexican · BBQ | 590 W 79th St | open |
| Soya Sushi & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 530 W 79th St #120 | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 190 Lake Dr E | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 851 W 78th St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7836 Market Blvd | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 7860 Century Blvd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 8971 Crossroads Boulevard Suite 150 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 975 W 78th St | open |
| Tacos La Catrina llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | American | 7755 Century Blvd | open |
| Taza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 7905 Great Plains Blvd Ste 130 | open |
| Thaliwala Indian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 7850 Market Blvd | open |
| The Battered Spoon | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 7311 Pontiac Cir | open |
| The Edge Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 523 W 78th St | open |
| The O.G. Coffee & Wine Bar | Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 600 Market St | open |
| The School Ii Bistro & Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Market St Ste 170 | open | |
| Tono Pizzeria + Cheesesteaks Tono Pizzeria + Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 190 Lake Dr E #110 | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7820 Market Blvd | open |
| Jill Magnuson Ma Lp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 W 78th St | closed | |
| Rey Azteca, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7874 Market Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 14 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 18 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 27 | 24 | 6 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 26 | 5 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 28 | 6 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 26 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 28 | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 28 | 8 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 30 | 10 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 32 | 29 | 9 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 33 | 10 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 34 | 10 | 19 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 35 | 9 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 42 | 40 | 12 | 24 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 42 | 39 | 12 | 23 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 39 | 13 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 39 | 38 | 12 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 42 | 41 | 12 | 26 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 41 | 40 | 11 | 26 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 44 | 42 | 14 | 24 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |