BMIE Market 55372

Scott County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	34,772 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±665 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,159 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,811 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,286 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$145,499 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,568 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,494 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$467,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	58.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55372
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+172.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 26–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55372. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	92.7	93	40%	+37.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83.3	83	35%	+29.1
Market Momentum Score	84.2	84	25%	+21.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	34,772	92	40%	+36.6
Median household income (ACS)	145,499	96	40%	+38.2
Households (ACS)	12,159	89	20%	+17.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	35%	+26.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.6	78	25%	+19.4
Population (ACS)	34,772	92	20%	+18.3
Median household income (ACS)	145,499	96	20%	+19.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

American 16 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 18 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Artisan Coffee Bistro	Café	Coffee	16731 Highway 13 S	open
Becca's Bread - Your Local Sourdough Dealer in Prior Lake	Bakery	Bakery	14291 Ferndale Ave NE	open
Boathouse Brothers Bre	Brewery / taproom · Bar		16224 Main Ave SE	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	16731 Highway 13 S	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4100 Village Lake Dr SE	open
Charlie's On Prior	Bar	American	3950 Green Heights Trail SW	open
ChulasPL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4636 Colorado St SE	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	16859 Willow Ln SW	open
Culver's Culver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	5471 Credit River Rd SE	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5055 Hope St SE	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	4393 Maplewood St SE	open
Dakotah! Recharge	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	2100 Trail of Dreams	open
Doherty's Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		22000 Panama Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4995 160th Street	open
Drinx Bar	Bar		2400 Mystic Lk Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		5020 160th St SE	open
Edelweiss Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · American	16186 Main Ave SE	open
Eileen's Colossal Cookies Eileen's Colossal Cookies - Liberty, MO	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6880 Boudin St NE #185	open
Enzo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	14129 Commerce Ave NE	open
Extra Innings Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		16299 Main Ave SE	open
Fong's Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4770 Pleasant St SE	open
Franklin Trail SE & Hill Street Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	15825 Franklin Trl SE	open
Fusion Noodle Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Noodles / ramen / pho	2400 Mystic Lk Blvd	open
Gambler’s Grille Caribou Coffee	Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Steakhouse · Dessert · Coffee · Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	2400 Mystic Lk Blvd #9004	open
Glewwe's Castle Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4620 207th St E	open
Hop House	Bar		2400 Mystic Lake Blvd	open
Il Premio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Steakhouse	2400 Mystic Lake Blvd	open
Jazz Co Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4616 Colorado St SE	open
Knack 36	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	22358 Crane St	open
LakerMarketplace	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4540 Tower St SE	open
Lakers Tavern & Pizza	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15750 Highway 13 S	open
Lakeside Eats & Treats	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	16220 Main Ave SE	open
Legends Club Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8670 Credit River Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	16831 Hwy 13 Se	open
Minnehaha Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	2400 Mystic Lk Blvd #9004	open
Moe's Tavern	Bar		Lakeside Ave	open
Ofelia's Fresh Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	16907 Highway 13 S	open
Perron's Sul Lago	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	16154 Main Ave SE	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6880 Boudin St. NE Scott	open
Pizza N' Pasta Carbone's Minneapolis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	15875 Franklin Trl Se Ste 103	open
PLate	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	16323 Main Ave SE	open
Prior Lake Post No. 6208, Veterans Of Foreign Wars Of The Un	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16306 Main Ave SE	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	16731 Highway 13 S Ste 105	open
Rhino Wine Bar	Bar		16186 Main Ave SE	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	15825 Franklin Trail SE	open
Slate North	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3151 Wilds Ridge NW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	16711 Duluth Ave SE	open
T.J. Hooligans Prior Lake	Casual dining · Bar	American	16731 Highway 13 S	open
Teresa's Mexican Restaurant Teresa's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6880 Boudin St NE	open
The Buffet at Mystic Lake	Buffet	American · Breakfast	2400 Mystic Lake Blvd NW	open
The Cove Pub	Bar		15750 Highway 13 S	open
The Lake Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	15875 Franklin Trl SE	open
The Meadows Bar and Grille	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2400 Mystic Lake Blvd	open
The Pointe Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	16691 State Hwy 13	open
The Wilds Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3151 Wilds Ridge Ct NW	open
Tipi Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2354 Sioux Trl NW	open
Trigger's Bar & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2920 220th St E	open
Wreck A Mended Auto Body	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16783 Toronto Ave SE	open
YT’s Garage and Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		16309 Main Ave SE	open
Ze's Diner Ze's Diner Eagan	Casual dining	American	16731 State Hwy 13	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	17	13	6	7	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	19	14	7	6	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	20	16	9	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	26	20	10	8	2	5	NAICS1997
2002	23	18	7	9	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	21	15	5	7	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	16	8	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	23	18	6	11	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	21	16	6	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	21	17	7	7	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	21	19	6	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	19	17	7	8	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	19	17	8	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	18	8	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	24	22	10	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	24	22	10	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	24	22	10	9	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	24	21	10	8	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	28	26	14	8	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	26	23	10	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	20	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	23	10	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	23	11	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	25	11	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	29	11	15	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	37	30	13	14	3	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55372. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.