BMIE Market 55391

Hennepin County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,502 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±757 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,517 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,486 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,545 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$174,301 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,718 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$923,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78,825 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55391
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+15.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+52.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+31.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+11.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 41–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55391. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.7	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.5	72	35%	+25.0
Market Momentum Score	72.5	73	25%	+18.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,502	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	174,301	98	40%	+39.2
Households (ACS)	6,517	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	52	85	35%	+29.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.5	27	25%	+6.9
Population (ACS)	15,502	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	174,301	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	15.2	73	50%	+36.6
10-year restaurant growth	52	85	30%	+25.4
20-year restaurant growth	31.0	53	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (81)

By cuisine

American 18 · Coffee 14 · Dessert 7 · Asian 6 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 4 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · French 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 11 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 10 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
6Smith	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood	294 Grove Ln E	open
Baja Haus	Bar	Mexican	830 Lake St E	open
Beanhaven Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	18154 Minnetonka Blvd	open
Belle & Grey	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	925 Lake St E	open
Bellecour	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	739 Lake St E	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	539 Lake St E 1st Floor	open
Benedict's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	845 Lake St E	open
Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	1179A Wayzata Blvd	open
Bukhara Indian Bistro	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Dessert · Asian	15718 Wayzata Blvd	open
Buttercream Wedding Cakes & Desserts	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	18172 Minnetonka Blvd	open
Cafe Anna Lisa	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	15000 Minnetonka Blvd	open
Cargill Asia Pacific Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15615 McGinty Rd W	open
Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	609 Lake St E	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3333 Shoreline Dr	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	1151 Wayzata Blvd	open
Carisch Inc. Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		681 Lake St E	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1313 Wayzata Blvd	open
COV Wayzata	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	700 Lake St E	open
Crisp & Green CRISP & GREEN	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	755 Lake St E	open
Culver's Culver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3340 Shoreline Dr	open
D'Amico & Sons	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	810 Lake St E	open
Diamond Gus Enterprises	Other	Sandwiches	700 Twelve Oaks Center Dr Ste 202	open
District Fresh Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	300 Superior Blvd	open
Donamae's A Sweet Studio	Dessert	Dessert	18285 Minnetonka Blvd	open
Dvincis	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3420 Shoreline Dr	open
El Bodegon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	17623 Minnetonka Blvd	open
Eloise	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		326 Broadway Ave S	open
Excelsior Brewing Company	Bar		3703 Casco Ave	open
FiTonka Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	3465 Shoreline Dr	open
Fork & Trough Rat Sanctuary + Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	135 Lake St W	open
Founding Fathers Products	Brewery / taproom		320 Manitoba Ave S	open
Gianni's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	635 Lake St E	open
Groveland Assembly Grounds	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Healthy Eating Mn Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1161 Wayzata Blvd E PMB 302	open
HomeMade Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	830 Lake St E	open
Jade Fountain	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	838 Lake St E	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1140 Wayzata Blvd E.	open
Josefina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	739 Lake St E	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	15500 Wayzata Blvd	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1350 Wayzata Blvd E	open
Lulu's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3420 Shoreline Dr	open
Macanda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	294 Grove Ln E Ste 150	open
Maggies Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	844 Lake St E	open
Mandarin Yang	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3412 County Rd 101	open
McCormick's Pub & Restaurant McCormick's Pub & Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	British / Irish pub food · American	331 Broadway Ave S	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1450 E Wayzata Blvd	open
MN Lake & Bake	Café · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Bakery · Dessert	18172 Minnetonka Blvd	open
My Burger - Wayzata My Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1330 Wayzata Blvd	open
Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Minnetonka Blvd	open
Noodles And Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1179 Wayzata Blvd E	open
North Star Donuts	Bakery · Food truck · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee		open
Northcoast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	294 Grove Ln E	open
Orono Liquor Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3380 Shoreline Dr	open
Patrick's Bakery and Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	331 Broadway Ave S	open
Penny's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	750 Lake St E	open
Peter's Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	15407 McGinty Rd W	open
Punch Pizza Wayzata Punch Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1313 Wayzata Blvd E	open
Red Cow Wayzata Red Cow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	881 Lake St N	open
Redstone American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		294 Grove Ln E	open
Sakana Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	683 Lake St E	open
Senator Persian food	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2930 Minnehaha Curv	open
Stalk & Spade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	740 Lake St E	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	740 Lake St E (Lake Street - Wayzata)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1330 Wayzata Blvd	open
Sushi Fix	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	862 Lake St E	open
Sylvanson, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3574 Shoreline Dr	open
The Grocer's Table	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	326 Broadway Ave S	open
The Lake Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	3386 Shoreline Dr	open
The Narrows Saloon	Casual dining · Bar	American	3380 Shoreline Dr	open
The Swan Bar - Resort - Marina	Bar		2200 Shadywood Rd	open
Toastique - Wayzata Toastique	Café	Coffee	300 Engel St	open
Tono Pizzeria + Cheesesteaks Tono Pizzeria + Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	810 Lake St E	open
Tri's Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1310 Wayzata Blvd E	open
Truce	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	821 Lake St E	open
Wayzata Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	747 Mill St E	open
Wayzata Brew Works	Brewery / taproom		294 Grove Ln E	open
Wayzata Eatery	Bar		1179 Wayzata Blvd E	open
Wayzata Olive Oil & Vinegar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		743 Lake St E	open
Wuollet Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	795 Lake St E	open
Yogurt Lab	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	701 Lake St E Ste 150	open
Localz Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3222 N Shore Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	34	34	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	33	32	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	34	33	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	34	34	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	35	32	14	12	6	—	NAICS1997
1999	39	36	15	15	6	—	NAICS1997
2000	40	38	18	14	6	—	NAICS1997
2001	39	36	16	13	7	1	NAICS1997
2002	35	32	14	11	7	1	NAICS1997
2003	35	29	13	9	7	1	NAICS2002
2004	36	31	13	10	8	1	NAICS2002
2005	34	29	13	8	8	1	NAICS2002
2006	39	33	16	8	9	1	NAICS2002
2007	35	26	14	4	8	1	NAICS2002
2008	37	28	16	7	5	1	NAICS2007
2009	37	29	17	7	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	37	29	17	7	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	36	29	18	6	5	1	NAICS2007
2012	33	25	11	8	6	2	NAICS2012
2013	36	25	11	8	6	2	NAICS2012
2014	44	33	17	9	7	2	NAICS2012
2015	39	31	17	8	6	2	NAICS2012
2016	38	33	15	11	7	2	NAICS2012
2017	39	34	16	13	5	3	NAICS2017
2018	38	33	15	12	6	3	NAICS2017
2019	40	34	16	12	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	40	35	16	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	47	40	15	19	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	43	38	17	16	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	45	38	17	14	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55391. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55356	3.0 mi	12	2023
55447	3.7 mi	51	2023
55345	4.4 mi	28	2023
55384	4.7 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.