BMIE Market 56288

Kandiyohi County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,697 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±306 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,696 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,788 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$111,021 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$843 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$422,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	48.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 56288
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 56288. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.9	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.8	77	35%	+26.9
Market Momentum Score	38.6	39	25%	+9.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,697	59	40%	+23.8
Median household income (ACS)	111,021	87	40%	+34.8
Households (ACS)	2,077	62	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.8	61	25%	+15.3
Population (ACS)	4,697	59	20%	+11.9
Median household income (ACS)	111,021	87	20%	+17.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	-14.3	15	20%	+3.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
(Closed) Godfather's Pizza-Spicer, MN Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	190 Progress Way	open
Bello Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	194 Progress Way	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11999 62nd St NE	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	137 Access Way	open
E-squared Collaborative Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		130 Lake Ave N Unit 2	open
Glacial Ridge Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		15455 Old Mill Rd	open
Hinterland Beverage Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8879 Long Lake Rd	open
Jacked Up Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Food truck · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	301 MN-23	open
La Baja	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	118 Lake Ave N	open
Max's on the Green	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	15980 MN-23	open
O'Neil's	Casual dining · Bar	American	152 Lk Ave N	open
Old Mill Orchard & The Tasting Grove	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		15455 Old Mill Rd	open
Pink Apron Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	202 Progress Way	open
Spicer American Legion Post 545	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering · Bar		145 Lake Ave S	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	190 Progress Way	open
West Hospitality Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		142 Lake Ave N	open
Westwood Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	142 Lake Ave N	open
Zorbaz	Restaurant (service type not stated)		159 Lake Ave S	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	8	5	1	3	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	7	5	1	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	4	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 56288. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.