BMIE Market 56307

Stearns County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±109 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,157 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,981 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,097 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,234 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$650 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±177 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$281,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	105.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 56307
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 56307. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.7	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.9	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	83.6	84	25%	+20.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,385	62	40%	+24.7
Median household income (ACS)	84,097	67	40%	+26.8
Households (ACS)	1,999	61	20%	+12.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.3	32	25%	+8.0
Population (ACS)	5,385	62	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	84,097	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	71.4	94	50%	+46.8
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 3 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Peppers Mexican Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Fast casual	Pizza · Mexican · Healthy / salads / bowls	310 8th St S	open
A&W A&W	Quick service	Burgers · American	121 8th St S Box 54	open
Active Albany Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	401 Railroad Ave	open
Albany Home Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	531 Railroad Ave	open
Albany Pizzaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	121 4th St	open
Barbacoa American and Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	441 Railroad Ave	open
Barbacoa Smokehouse & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Mexican · Latin American (other)	441 Railroad Ave	open
Cottage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	18372 Red Maple Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	331 7th St S	open
Hillcrest Family Restaurant & Stubby's Tavern Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1004 Shamrock Ln	open
Home Plate Patio	Bar	British / Irish pub food	481 Railroad Ave	open
Melinas Bistro & Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	401 Railroad Ave	open
Rookies Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		481 Railroad Ave	open
Salt & Light Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	321 Railroad Ave	open
Shady's Hometown Tavern and Event Center Shady's Hometown Tavern and Event Center	Casual dining · Bar	American	451 Railroad Ave	open
smoke-in-D BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	110 4th St	open
Sparrow's Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	501 Railroad Ave	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	121 8th Street South	open
The Mill	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	730 Church Ave	open
Trappers Pub & Grub	Casual dining · Bar		27011 Co Rd 23	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	11	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	8	3	2	1	—	5	NAICS2002
2008	10	5	2	2	1	5	NAICS2007
2009	9	3	2	1	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	9	3	2	1	—	6	NAICS2007
2011	10	4	2	2	—	6	NAICS2007
2012	7	4	3	1	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	9	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	9	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	12	7	4	3	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	13	8	3	5	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	11	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	11	7	—	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	13	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	14	9	4	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	13	8	4	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	13	8	5	3	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	17	12	8	4	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 56307. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.