BMIE Market 56425

Crow Wing County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,932 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,985 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,655 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,188 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,086 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,148 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$324,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 56425
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	26.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+4.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 19–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 56425. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.1	61	40%	+24.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.8	46	35%	+16.0
Market Momentum Score	68.3	68	25%	+17.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,932	69	40%	+27.6
Median household income (ACS)	70,740	48	40%	+19.3
Households (ACS)	3,985	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	4	49	35%	+17.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	29.1	21	25%	+5.3
Population (ACS)	8,932	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	70,740	48	20%	+9.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	4	49	30%	+14.7
20-year restaurant growth	85.7	78	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (53)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 9 · Coffee 7 · Mexican 5 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 14 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Café 6 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
371 Diner	Casual dining	American	14901 Edgewood Dr	open
A A P Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7788 Fairview Rd	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	15240 Dellwood	open
Baskin-Robbins™ Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	14398 Dellwood Dr	open
Baxter Cafe & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	7788 Fairview Rd N	open
Black Bear Lodge & Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		14819 Edgewood Dr	open
Blaze Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14398 Dellwood Drive	open
Bonanza Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	14540 Dellwood Dr	open
Boomer Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	14039 Edgewood Dr	open
Boulder Tap House Boulder Tap House - Mankato	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	15674 Edgewood Dr N	open
Bucky’s BBQ	Catering	BBQ	12627 Chestnut Dr	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	14643 Edgewood Drive, Suite 100 Ste. 100	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	808 W Washington St	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	15175 Edgewood Dr N	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13991 Baxter Dr	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8218 Highland Scenic Drive	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	14203 Edgewood Dr	open
Christa's Sourdough Creations	Bakery	Bakery	13384 Shadowwood Dr	open
Christmas Point Espresso Bar and Cafe'	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	14803 Edgewood Dr	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	15175 Edgewood Dr, Ste 120	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	15175 Edgewood Dr N	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	15222 Delwood Drive	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7295 Glory Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		14398 Dellwood Dr	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Coffee shop · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Bakery	14199 Edgewood Dr	open
El Tequila Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7399 Garrison Rd	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	14203 Edgewood Dr N	open
Grizzly's Wood Fired Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	15159 Edgewood Dr N	open
Ippin Ramen-Baxter	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	7788 Fairview Rd N	open
Jack Pine Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		15593 Edgewood Dr N	open
Jack Pine Brewery	Brewery / taproom		7942 College Rd #115	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	14203 Edgewood Dr	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	14244 Dellwood Dr	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	14430 Dellwood Drive	open
Littles & Lattes Play Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	15670 Edgewood Dr N Suite 120	open
McDonald's	Quick service		7295 Glory Rd	open
Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	15175 Edgewood Dr N Ste 110	open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	7399 Garrison Rd	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7822 Fairview Road	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8330 MN-210	open
Pizza Ranch Pizza Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	14643 Edgewood Dr	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Poncho & Lefty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	Highway 371 N	open
Poncho & Lefty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	14151 Edgewood Dr N	open
Rome, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14039 Edgewood Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	14546 Dellwood Dr N	open
StoneHouse Coffee & Roastery StoneHouse Coffee & Roastery	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	14540 Dellwood Dr N	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	15091 Edgewood Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	14175 Edgewood Dr	open
The Burn Nutrition Club	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	7822 Fairview Rd N	open
The Pub on Red Sand	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		15092 Ninebark Dr	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7998 Industrial Park Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	7295 Glory Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	10	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	16	11	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	15	8	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	20	12	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	19	12	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	20	19	12	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	21	20	12	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	23	22	13	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	22	13	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	25	25	15	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	24	24	14	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	23	13	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	23	22	13	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	24	23	11	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	22	11	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	23	11	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	21	9	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	25	10	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	26	11	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 56425. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.