BMIE Market 57532

Stanley County, South Dakota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,260 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,835 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,307 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$87,966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$952 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$210,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61,691 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1,292.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 57532
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	28.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 1–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 57532. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Dakota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 225, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.8	60	40%	+23.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.6	40	35%	+13.9
Market Momentum Score	29.5	30	25%	+7.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,929	52	40%	+20.7
Median household income (ACS)	87,966	71	40%	+28.5
Households (ACS)	1,260	53	20%	+10.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	35%	+3.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.1	46	25%	+11.4
Population (ACS)	2,929	52	20%	+10.3
Median household income (ACS)	87,966	71	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	30%	+3.1
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 3 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amuse 44	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	904 E 9th Ave	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1201 N Yellowstone St	open
Champs Chicken Champs Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	310 W 1st Ave	open
Chateau Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 Deadwood St	open
Chuckwagon Cafe	Other	Sandwiches	30318 Arrowhead Rd	open
Cool Spot	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	205 1st St	open
Drifters Bar & Grille \| Drifters Event Center	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		325 Hustan Ave	open
Marion's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	174 Skerrols St	open
Monster Mac	Restaurant (service type not stated)		113 E Stanley Rd	open
Oahe Marina and Resort	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20422 Marina Loop	open
Out of Bounds	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	101 E Main Ave	open
Perkins Restaurant and Bakery Perkins American Food Co.	Café · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American · Coffee · Bakery	217 E Hustan Ave	open
Pizza Ranch Pizza Ranch	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	321 E Hustan	open
Quick 94	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	214 8th Ave	open
Sandbar Lounge	Bar		312 Island Dr	open
Silver Spur Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	103 E Main Ave	open
The Chuckwagon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	112 Deadwood St	open
The Wolf Den	Bar		113 W Stanley Rd	open
Westside Bar	Bar		113 E Stanley Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	3	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	7	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	5	2	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	2	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	4	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	6	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	11	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 57532. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.