BMIE Market 57719

Meade County, South Dakota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,221 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±980 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,547 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,217 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,400 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,885 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,798 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,374 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±168 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$317,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	167.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 57719
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2012–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 57719. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2012–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Dakota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 225, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66	66	40%	+26.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.4	54	35%	+19.0
Market Momentum Score	14.4	14	25%	+3.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,221	74	40%	+29.4
Median household income (ACS)	74,885	55	40%	+22.0
Households (ACS)	4,547	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.5	98	25%	+24.6
Population (ACS)	12,221	74	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	74,885	55	20%	+11.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Quick service 6 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baan Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	114 Box Elder Rd W	open
Charley's Lounge	Bar		114 Box Elder Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2725 Lemay Blvd Bldg 4020	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	504 N Ellsworth Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	219 Main Gate Road	open
Gizzis Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	298 Main Gate Rd	open
Hairy Cow Brewing Company - Box Elder	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		415 N Ellsworth Rd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	679 Reagan Ave	open
Kang San	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Japanese · Asian	520 N Ellsworth Rd # 3D	open
KZ'S Backyard BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	BBQ	523 Meadowlark Dr	open
McDonald’s McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	680 Reagan Ave	open
Miller's Family Farm Stand LLC.	Bakery	Bakery	15019 Mandi Ln	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	475 Villa Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	102 N Ellsworth Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	208 Oak St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	571 Hotel Way	open
The Bistro - Eat. Drink. Connect.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		580 Watiki Way	open
The Hangar Pub of Box Elder	Bar · Casual dining		114 Box Elder Rd W	open
The Venue Of Box Elder	Quick service		520 N Ellsworth Rd Ste 7a	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	8	5	1	4	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	7	4	1	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	6	4	—	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	6	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	7	3	—	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	5	3	—	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	—	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	—	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	1	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	8	5	1	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	5	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	5	3	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	7	5	3	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	6	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	—	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2023	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 57719. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.