BMIE Market 58078

Cass County, North Dakota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	40,631 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	16,067 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,321 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,946 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,040 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,015 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,109 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±86 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$324,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,968 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 58078
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+34.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+65.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+115.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+207.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	54 (range 49–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.0 per year, r² 0.92) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 58078. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.92, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Dakota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 218, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.2	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.6	82	35%	+28.6
Market Momentum Score	86.3	86	25%	+21.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	40,631	94	40%	+37.7
Median household income (ACS)	91,040	74	40%	+29.6
Households (ACS)	16,067	95	20%	+18.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	65.4	87	35%	+30.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.6	70	25%	+17.5
Population (ACS)	40,631	94	20%	+18.8
Median household income (ACS)	91,040	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	34.4	86	50%	+43.1
10-year restaurant growth	65.4	87	30%	+26.1
20-year restaurant growth	115	86	20%	+17.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (124)

By cuisine

American 20 · Coffee 12 · Pizza 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 6 · Burgers 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Korean 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Bar 35 · Casual dining 23 · Quick service 17 · Coffee shop 11 · Dessert 9 · Café 8 · Bakery 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alena's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	434 Sheyenne St	open
Applebee's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1640 E. 13th Ave.	open
Bar Down	Bar · Casual dining		3150 Sheyenne St	open
Barcode	Casual dining · Bar	American	835 23rd Ave E	open
Blarney Stone Pub Blarney Stone - Bismarck	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1910 9th St E	open
Blvd	Bar		3147 Bluestem Dr	open
BorderTown Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		807 Main Ave E	open
Boston's Restaurant & Sports Bar Boston's Restaurant & Sports Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American	1640 13th Ave E	open
Botl International Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1640 13th Ave E	open
Boulevard Pub	Bar		3147 Bluestem Dr	open
Bphaak Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		807 Main Ave E	open
Brewtus Brickhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		705 32nd Ave E	open
Btnd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		405 Main Ave W	open
Btnddq, L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		405 Main Ave W Unit 2d	open
Bucky's Hideaway	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1809 7th St W	open
Buffalo Wings & Rings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		695 32nd Ave E	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	840 26th Ave E	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1100 13th Ave E	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1625 13th Ave E	open
Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	755 33rd Ave W	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2050 Sheyenne St	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	755 33rd Ave W	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	901 Main Ave E	open
Cheney Motors Sports	Bar		104 8th Ave NW	open
China King Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	715 13th Ave E	open
Cottage Cakes & Creations	Bakery	Bakery	2114 2nd Ave E	open
Crumbl - West Fargo	Dessert	Dessert	833 24th Ave E Ste J	open
D & D Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		405 Main Ave W Unit 5e	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	1110 13th Ave E 1110 13th Ave E	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	3234 Sheyenne St	open
Deaner's Diner	Casual dining	American	405 Main Ave W	open
Deek's Pizza Deeks Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	635 32nd Ave E	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1380 9th Street East	open
Double Nickles Bar & Smokehouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4506 Sunrise Dr	open
Evolve Nutrition and Training	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3306 Sheyenne St Ste 206	open
Far-moor Property Management, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 Main Ave E	open
Flatland Brewery	Brewery / taproom		3140 Blue Stem Dr	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		1450 13th Ave E	open
Harry's Steakhouse-West Fargo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	915 19th Ave E	open
Hooligans	Casual dining · Bar		509 32nd Ave W	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3210 Sheyenne St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	833 24th Ave E	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	749 23rd Ave E	open
JL Beers JL Beers Sioux Falls	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	810 13th Ave E	open
Juice Box Fargo	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3993 4th St E	open
Jumbo's Lemonade	Food truck	Sandwiches · American	1614 Ash Pl	open
Junkyard West Fargo	Brewery / taproom · Bar		409 Sheyenne St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1410 13th Avenue E	open
Ladybug Latte	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	583 Main Ave E	open
Lake Mode Liquors	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		3330 Sheyenne St Ste 110	open
LBC North Dakota	Restaurant (service type not stated)		964 27th Ave W	open
Le's Banh Mi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Sandwiches · Asian	833 24th Ave E	open
Legends Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		680 Main Ave W	open
Levity West Fargo	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	344 Sheyenne St	open
Loren Lee's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3179 Bluestem Dr	open
M & J Brand Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		817 Main Ave W	open
MacKenzie River Pizza, Grill & Pub MacKenzie River Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · BBQ	819 24th Ave E	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	675 13th Ave E, Ste 103	open
MÁS CARNE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	Inside The M&J Saloon, 817 Main Ave W	open
Maxwells	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1380 9th St E	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	501 Main Ave E	open
Moxie Java Moxie Java	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3150 Sheyenne St	open
Mr Wok Chinese Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	816 24th Ave E	open
Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	665 32nd Ave E Suite 106	open
Nectors Man Cave	Bar		942 35th Ave W	open
Nordic Kitchen	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	176 Main Ave E	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	816 24th Ave E	open
Nutrition World	Juice, smoothie, tea	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	835 23rd Ave E	open
Oasis Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3147 Bluestem Dr	open
Ole & Lena's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3330 Sheyenne St Ste 108	open
Onee Korean Fried Chicken & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Chicken / wings · Asian	816 24th Ave E Ste 116	open
Perfectly Wheatless	Bakery	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls	1401 12th St E	open
Pet-deck Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		675 13th Ave E	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3163 Bluestem Dr Cass	open
Poker at Bordertown	Bar		807 Main Ave E	open
Prairie Smoke BBQ	Food truck		4506 Sunrise Dr	open
Pub West	Bar · Casual dining		3140 Bluestem Dr	open
Rainbow Point Fargo Lllp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		819 24th Ave E	open
Randy's Diner Too	Casual dining	American	641 32nd Ave W	open
Rookies Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	715 13th Ave E	open
Sandy's Donuts & Coffee Shop Sandy's Donuts & Coffee Shop	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	301 Main Ave W	open
Say Cheese Mac & Melt Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	815 23rd Ave E Ste 104	open
Shy Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3330 Sheyenne St	open
Silver Dollar Bar & The Flying Pig Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	221 Sheyenne St	open
Sips on Sheyenne	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	300 Sheyenne St	open
Sirirath Thai House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	749 23rd Ave E	open
Sister Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		715 13th Ave E	open
Smoke & Iron	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	611 32nd Ave W	open
Sonder Bakehouse	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3223 Oak Ridge Loop E	open
South 49 Properties, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1640 13th Ave E	open
Spicy Pie - West Fargo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	745 31st Ave E Ste 110	open
Spitfire Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1660 13th Ave E	open
Steep Me A Cup Of Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	3139 Bluestem Dr Ste 100	open
Stone Town Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		705 32nd Ave E	open
StrongPour: Nutrition Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	435 32nd Ave E Unit B	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	1210 13th Ave E	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	109 Main Ave E	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1970 Sheyenne Street	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	855 13th Ave E Ste 202	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3163 Bluestem Drive Space 100	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	815 23rd Ave E	open
Taco John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1560 13th Ave E	open
Taco John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	110 Main Ave E	open
Tacos Reynosa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	108 Main Ave W	open
TCBY	Dessert	Dessert	950 13th Ave E	open
Thai Orchid Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	110 Main Ave E	open
The Local 701	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1405 Prairie Pkwy	open
The Noble Hare	Bar		344 Sheyenne St	open
The Piggy BBQ of West Fargo The Piggy BBQ of Walker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	816 24th Ave E	open
The Pond’s Edge	Bar		6 Ave W.	open
The Sandbox Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3147 Bluestem Dr	open
The Tap Guys	Bar		842 12th Ave E	open
Three Lyons Pub	Casual dining · Bar		675 13th Ave E	open
Thunder Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	300 Sheyenne St #190	open
Tru Blu Social Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	915 19th Ave E	open
Unhynged Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		3330 Sheyenne St Ste 116	open
West Fargo Dive Bar	Bar		360 32nd Ave W Ste 140	open
West Fargo Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1380 9th St E	open
Wing Zone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1560 13th Ave E	open
Work Zone	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Chicken / wings	701 Main Ave E	open
Wurst Bier Hall	Casual dining · Bar	German / Eastern European	3179 Bluestem Dr	open
Ziti's Italian American	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	3150 Sheyenne St	open
Evolve Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	3306 Sheyenne St	closed
Traditions Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3330 Sheyenne St Ste 116	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	21	18	8	10	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	21	17	8	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	22	18	7	8	3	4	NAICS1997
2001	22	19	9	8	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	24	18	9	8	1	6	NAICS1997
2003	24	20	10	9	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	25	21	9	9	3	4	NAICS2002
2005	19	14	6	7	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	23	19	9	7	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	29	22	10	9	2	7	NAICS2002
2008	27	20	8	9	2	7	NAICS2007
2009	28	21	9	8	3	7	NAICS2007
2010	31	25	11	9	4	6	NAICS2007
2011	31	23	8	11	3	8	NAICS2007
2012	34	27	13	10	3	6	NAICS2012
2013	34	26	11	11	3	6	NAICS2012
2014	35	25	9	12	3	8	NAICS2012
2015	38	27	10	13	3	9	NAICS2012
2016	44	32	14	14	3	10	NAICS2012
2017	37	28	12	12	3	8	NAICS2017
2018	43	32	13	14	4	10	NAICS2017
2019	44	34	14	14	5	9	NAICS2017
2020	52	39	16	15	7	11	NAICS2017
2021	54	42	16	17	8	9	NAICS2017
2022	58	43	19	15	8	10	NAICS2022
2023	58	43	18	17	7	11	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 58078. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.