BMIE Market 59106

Yellowstone County, Montana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,417 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,582 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,164 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±635 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,375 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,798 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$125,833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,514 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,545 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$496,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,019 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	112.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 59106
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	0.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+225.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+1,200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.89) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	92 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	100 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 59106. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.89, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Montana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 218, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.2	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91.9	92	35%	+32.2
Market Momentum Score	99.8	100	25%	+25.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,417	82	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	125,833	92	40%	+36.8
Households (ACS)	8,164	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	1,200	100	35%	+35.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.1	88	25%	+22.0
Population (ACS)	21,417	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	125,833	92	20%	+18.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 100 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	225	100	50%	+49.9
10-year restaurant growth	1,200	100	30%	+30.0
20-year restaurant growth	1,200	100	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Burgers 3 · American 2 · BBQ 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Bella Donna's Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5203 Black Stone Cir	open
Albertanos Billings LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1670 Shiloh Rd	open
American Classic Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4241 Kari Ln	open
Back 9 Lounge	Bar		1411 Chy Way	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4002 Montana Sapphire Dr	open
City Brew	Coffee shop	Coffee	1720 Shiloh Rd	open
Crumbl - Billings	Dessert	Dessert	27 Shiloh Rd Unit 6	open
Diamond X Beer Co.	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		5417 Hawk Creek Ave	open
Grind House Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5554 Grand Ave	open
Hong Kong BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · BBQ · Asian	115 Shiloh Rd	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1678 Shiloh Rd STE 2	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4011 Montana Sapphire Dr Ste. 1	open
Kitty Corner Café	Café	Coffee	1780 Shiloh Rd	open
Manny's Sports and Entertainment	Bar · Casual dining		4241 Kari Ln	open
Meadowlark Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3970 Pierce Pkwy	open
Smoky Bones Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	BBQ	612 Zebra St	open
Soda Station	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert		16 Shiloh Rd	open
Sophie's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	149 Shiloh Rd Unit 3	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	425 Henry Chapple St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5317 Grand Ave	open
Steak 'n Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4002 Montana Sapphire Dr	open
The Den Sports Bar & Ale House	Bar · Casual dining		1411 Chy Way	open
The Divide Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		4020 Montana Sapphire Dr	open
Topz Sandwich Company	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4007 Avenue B	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4077 Grand Avenue	open
Yellowstonel Roaring 20's Auto Club	Bar		7400 Burlington Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2001	3	3	—	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	—	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	—	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	3	—	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	2	—	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	3	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	9	—	4	3	3	NAICS2017
2021	22	13	—	6	5	4	NAICS2017
2022	21	13	4	4	5	3	NAICS2022
2023	22	13	3	4	6	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 59106. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.